Arkansas Razorbacks vs Baylor Bears NCAAB Betting Prediction

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Baylor Bears Prediction 11/9/2024

The Arkansas Razorbacks (1-0) travel to face off against the Baylor Bears (0-1) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on ESPNU. Arkansas is coming off a win in their previous game, while Baylor is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Gonzaga. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Baylor Bears

The Razorbacks Are Coming Off A Win

Arkansas opened their season with a 76-60 win over Lipscomb on Wednesday. Playing at home, the Razorbacks were -16 favorites and pushed against the spread. The game’s total points of 136 fell short of the O/U line of 160.

Arkansas led 39-28 at halftime and continued to control the game in the 2nd half, outscoring Lipscomb 37-32.

The Bears Are Coming Off A Win

Baylor’s season got off to a rough start with a 101-63 loss to Gonzaga on Monday. The Bears were +6 underdogs going into the game, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 164, which went over the pre-game O/U line of 157.5.

After trailing 49-30 at halftime, Baylor couldn’t turn things around in the 2nd half, scoring just 33 points while allowing 52.

Razorbacks Offense Breakdown

Arkansas put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 54% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 57.1%. They dominated inside, hitting 68.2% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, making just 4 of 19 threes for a 21.1% rate.

At the free-throw line, the Razorbacks connected on 4 of 7 attempts, shooting 57.1%. They grabbed 6 offensive rebounds and dished out 10 assists. Boogie Fland led the way with 17 points, despite shooting 1 of 8 from three.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Baylor’s offense struggled in their last game, shooting just 37.1% from the field and 13.6% from three-point range, hitting only 3 of 22 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 38.7%, and they managed 14 offensive rebounds and 11 assists.

Nolan Hickman led the way with 17 points, shooting 63.6% overall and 50% from deep. Graham Ike and Norchad Omier each added 15 points, with Omier grabbing 9 rebounds. Dusty Stromer also contributed, hitting 3 of 5 threes and finishing with 11 points and 6 rebounds.

Razorbacks Team Defense

Even though Arkansas gave up 60 points, they allowed their opponent to shoot 54% from the field, including a strong 68% on two-point attempts (30/44). The Razorbacks managed to limit the damage from beyond the arc, with their opponent hitting just 4 of 19 threes, a 21% success rate.

From the free-throw line, Arkansas sent their opponent to the line 7 times, where they made 4 free throws (57%). The Razorbacks also controlled the boards, giving up only 6 offensive rebounds.

Bears Team Defense

Even though Arkansas gave up 60 points, they allowed the opposing team to shoot 54% from the field, including 68% on two-point attempts (30/44). However, they limited damage from beyond the arc, where the other team shot just 4/19 for 21%.

At the free-throw line, Arkansas sent the other team to the stripe 7 times, where they made 4 for 57%. The Razorbacks also gave up 6 offensive rebounds.

Razorbacks vs Bears Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Arkansas has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 75 points per game.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Bears offense has averaged 69 points per game while allowing an average of 74. Baylor posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Razorbacks have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
  • Baylor has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Razorbacks vs Bears Prediction

The Bears is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 79-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Bears at -3.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 154.5 and our model has the Razorbacks and Bears finishing with a combined 147 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.