Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8/27/2024

The Houston Astros (70-61) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (77-54) on Tuesday, August 27th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on None. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Astros vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (+121)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Astros have scored 6 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
  • Houston has a 7-3 record in their last 10 road games.
  • The Astros have won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
  • In the last 15 games, the Astros have a 5-2 record when scoring 5 or more runs.
  • Houston has a 5-2 record in their last 7 games against National League teams.

Astros vs Phillies

houston astros nba

Philadelphia picked up a 3-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late rally, scoring one run in the 5th, 6th, and 10th innings. As for the Astros, they scored two runs in the 4th and added their final run in the 5th.

Zack Wheeler started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Astros, Ronel Blanco got the start and took the loss, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Brandon Marsh was the difference for the Phillies, as he homered in the 10th and scored the game’s go-ahead run. Bryce Harper also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Philadelphia’s offense.

On the season, the Astros have an over/under record of 16-26 when the total is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, with an overall over/under record of 52-75. Houston leads the AL West by 3.5 games over the Mariners, and they are 70-61 overall. They have a 35-32 road record and are 35-29 at home.

Against the run line, the Astros are 25-11 as underdogs and 42-53 as favorites. Their average run differential is +0.5, but it increases to +0.9 at home. Overall, Houston’s series record this season is 23-17-2, and they have a 52-43 record as favorites.

Justin Verlander Gets The Start For The Astros

Right-hander Justin Verlander is on the mound for the Astros today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA. Verlander’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.27 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Verlander took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 3.66 compared to 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA at home.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Yainer Diaz has been on a tear for the Astros, going 15/43 in his last 10 games with four home runs. For the season, he is batting .300 with 16 homers, which is 5th on the team. Diaz’s 72 RBIs are the most on the team. Houston’s top power threat is Yordan Alvarez, who is 11th in the league with 25 homers. He is also batting .305 for the season.

The Astros have a team batting average of .260, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better at home, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Houston is also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, coming in at 10th in the league.

Philadelphia has a 77-54 overall record and a six-game lead in the NL East over the Braves. The Phillies have won three straight games and are currently leading their series vs. the Astros. Their overall series record this year is 22-16-6.

When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Phillies have an 11-13 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their overall O/U record is 61-64.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Through 26 starts, Aaron Nola has a record of 11-6 and an ERA of 3.45. He has made 16 quality starts this year, along with one complete game shutout. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18, and he is averaging 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Nola finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had gone 6 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run. Nola has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .259, which is the 4th best mark in the league, and are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Over the last eight games, Bryson Stott has gone 11/28 for the Phillies, and he also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Alec Bohm has been a consistent run producer for the Phillies this season, as his 88 RBIs are the best on the team and 7th best in the league. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper have been a nice 1-2 punch in the lineup, as Schwarber’s 28 homers is 8th best in the league, and Harper’s 26 home runs is 10th most in the MLB.

Astros vs Phillies Prediction

We see the Astros taking this one on the road with a final score prediction of 5-4. Given that the Astros are the underdogs, we like them on the money line at +121. Our model has Justin Verlander finishing with six strikeouts, and Aaron Nola with five.

If you’re looking for a potential home run pick, the Astros are projected to finish with 17th most in the league today, while the Phillies are 14th. Looking at the lineups, the Astros are expected to finish with seven strikeouts, compared to the Phillies with eight.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.