The Houston Astros (70-62) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (78-54) on Wednesday, August 28th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.
Astros vs. Phillies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-111)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
- The Phillies have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
- The Phillies have a home record of 44-23, demonstrating their strength at home.
- In their last 15 games, the Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 10 games, showing consistent offensive production.
- The Phillies have won their last 4 games, indicating a positive winning streak.
- In their last 5 home games, the Phillies have won 4, showcasing their recent dominance at home.
Astros vs Phillies
Thanks to a four-run 3rd inning for the Phillies’ offense, they cruised to a 5-0 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -140 on the money line.
Aaron Nola pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Justin Verlander had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss.
Philadelphia got a huge performance from Nick Castellanos, as he went 1/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Trea Turner and Austin Hays each scored two runs for the Phillies’ offense.
Today, the Astros are looking to avoid a sweep by the Phillies after dropping the first two games of the series. Houston comes into the game with a 70-62 record, holding a 3.5-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West. They have struggled recently, going 4-6 in their last 10 games and losing their last two.
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have been better on the road, with a 38-30 record, but overall, they are 42-53 as favorites. The over/under line for today’s game is 9.5 runs, which is higher than their average total line of 9 runs. This season, the under has hit in 87.1% of games with totals set at 9.5 runs or higher.
Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros
Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 6-11 with a 4.94 ERA. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is 1.41, and opponents are batting .240 off him this year. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Orioles. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Arrighetti has a BB/9 figure of 4.09 compared to 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Yordan Alvarez has been one of the Astros’ top hitters this season, batting .305 with a team-high 25 home runs. He is also 2nd on the team with 67 RBIs. Alex Bregman has 21 homers this season, which is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league, but he has gone just 7/31 in his last seven games. Overall, Bregman is batting .259 for the season.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and 3rd in fewest strikeouts per game. They are also 9th in home runs and have the league’s 12th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Houston’s team on-base percentage is 9th in the league, and they have the 3rd best team slugging percentage in the league.
Philadelphia is 66-40 as the favorite this season and 12-14 as the underdog. The Phillies have won four straight games and have a 78-54 overall record, leading the NL East by six games over the Braves.
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies’ games have gone over the 9.5 run line in 7 of 14 games this season. Their games have hit the under in 61 of 126 games, with an average total of 8 runs per game.
Taijuan Walker Gets The Start For The Phillies
Taijuan Walker will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Royals, as he gets the start for the Phillies today. In that August 23rd start, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just three innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Walker has made 13 starts and has a record of 3-5. His ERA for the season is 6.26, along with a WHIP of 1.58. Walker has only made two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.38 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 17 homers and is averaging 3.9 walks per nine innings.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. This is good for 5th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.3 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the 4th best team batting average in the league.
Heading into the game, Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are 2nd and 3rd on the team in home runs, respectively, and are also near the top of the league in RBIs. Schwarber has a team-high 82 RBIs and is 8th in the league with 28 home runs. Harper is 10th in the league with 26 homers and has driven in 76 runs so far. Both Nick Castellanos and J.T. Realmuto have been hot of late, with Castellanos coming in on a five-game hitting streak and Realmuto having gone 8/17 in his last four games.
Astros vs Phillies Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -111. We have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a potential over/under pick, we would take the over at 9.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Taijuan Walker has a much better chance of picking up a win than Spencer Arrighetti. Walker is also projected to go deep into the game and finish with five strikeouts. As for Arrighetti, he is projected to finish with seven K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 28, 2024 Astros, Phillies