Oakland Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7/14/2024

The Oakland Athletics (36-61) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (62-33) on Sunday, July 14th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NSPCA. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Athletics are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.

Athletics vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-262)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 10 Runs
  • The Phillies have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • In their last 15 games, the Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, showcasing a potent offense.
  • The Phillies have a home record of 37-15, which is the best in the league, demonstrating their dominance at home.
  • In their last 5 home games, the Phillies have won 4, showing a strong home-field advantage.
  • The Athletics have a poor away record of 14-36, indicating struggles on the road.

Athletics vs Phillies

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Philadelphia cruised to an easy 11-5 win over the Athletics in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring nine of their eleven runs. As for the Athletics, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -190 on the money line.

Oakland got to Phillies starter Tyler Phillips, scoring four runs in six innings against him. As for the Phillies, they tagged Athletics starter Mitch Spence for six runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work. Phillips did pick up a win in the game, while Spence took the loss.

Brent Rooker hit the game’s only home run while going 3/5 with two runs scored and an RBI. Nick Castellanos had a big game at the plate for the Phillies, going 2/5 with a homer and four RBIs.

As underdogs, the Athletics have gone 29-59 straight up this season, and they are 45-43 against the run line. Their run line record on the road is 23-27, and their average run margin is -1.0 runs per game. Overall, the A’s have a 48-49 run line record.

In the AL West, Oakland is in 5th place, 16 games behind the Mariners. They have a 9-17 division record and have lost two straight series. The A’s are five games behind the Angels for 4th place in the division.

Joey Estes Gets The Start For The Athletics

Right-hander Joey Estes gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces the Phillies on the road. Estes has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with a 5.53 ERA. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his last outing, Estes was roughed up, taking the loss after giving up eight earned runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, going 9 innings in a shutout performance against the Angels. Looking back further, he has given up at least two earned runs in each of his last three outings.

Athletics Offense Breakdown

The Athletics offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in team batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. However, they do have the 7th most home runs in the league and are 13th in isolated power. Oakland has been even worse on the road this season, averaging just 3.4 runs per game.

Brent Rooker has been a bright spot for the Athletics this season, as he is batting .287 with a team-high 19 home runs and 57 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Rooker has gone 12/26 with 11 runs scored and two homers. Shea Langeliers is also near the top of the Athletics home run and RBI leaderboards but is batting just .216 for the season.

Philadelphia has a 62-33 record and is 6-4 in their last 10 games. They lead the NL East by 9.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have a 37-15 home record and are 25-18 on the road. This season, they have a 42-16 night game record and are 54-25 as favorites.

When the over/under line is set at 10 runs, the Phillies have gone over once in one game. Their over/under record for the season is 42-48, with an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game. The average run margin for their games is 1.3 runs per game.

Orion Kerkering Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Orion Kerkering will be getting the start for the Phillies today vs. the Athletics. He has made 34 appearances this season but has yet to make a start. Kerkering’s ERA is an impressive 1.30, and his record for the season is 2-1. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.38 strikeouts compared to just 1.56 walks. Kerkering has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 2-0 and a 0.53 ERA. At home, he is 0-1 with a 2.12 ERA.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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Philadelphia comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per game. The Phillies have been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams this season and are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top home run hitters this season, with Harper’s 21 homers leading the team and Schwarber not far behind with 19. Harper is also batting .303 for the season, and Schwarber comes in with a batting average of .252. Alec Bohm is hitting .292 for the season and has gone deep 11 times. He also leads the team with 70 RBIs.

Athletics vs Phillies Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Phillies, which would have them winning straight up. However, with a money line payout of -262, we would recommend taking the over at 10 runs, as there is a lot of value in this bet.

Looking at some potential player props, Joey Estes is projected to finish with five strikeouts. If you’re looking at some of the Phillies hitters, you could look at home run props, as they are projected to finish with the 15th most home runs in the league today.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.