The Atlanta Braves (60-55) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (43-74) on Saturday, August 10th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on BSSE. The Rockies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Braves vs. Rockies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Rockies (+163)
- Over/Under Prediction: Under 10.5 Runs
- The Rockies have scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
- The Rockies have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
- The Rockies have a recent home win against the Braves, scoring 6 runs on August 9th.
- The Rockies have scored 20 runs in a single home game within the last 15 games (July 24th vs. BOS).
- The Rockies have a higher home win percentage (26-31) compared to their away win percentage (17-43).
Braves vs Rockies
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rockies vs Braves series. Colorado went into the matchup as +139 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Atlanta had a late rally, scoring three runs in the 7th and another two in the 8th, but A.J. Minter took the loss. Tyler Kinley got the win out of the bullpen for the Rockies as Tanner Gordon went five innings, giving up two earned runs.
Offensively, the Rockies actually outhit the Braves in the game 10 to 12. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Braves could only muster one more run until their late rally. As for the Rockies, they scored three runs in the 3rd and added their final two runs in the 4th.
Colorado’s top hitter in the game was Brenton Doyle, who went 2/4 with a home run. Charlie Blackmon, Elias Diaz, and Ryan McMahon each had two hits and an RBI. For the Braves, Jorge Soler hit the games only other home run and drove in two runs.
Atlanta has an overall series record of 19-14-5 this season and their average run margin in wins is 3.6 runs, while in losses it’s -3.4 runs. The Braves are 53-44 as favorites and 7-11 as underdogs. Their straight-up record is 60-55, and they are 3rd in the NL East, 8.5 games behind the Phillies.
When the Braves play, the average total runs scored is 8.1, and their over/under record is 43-67. The over/under record for games with a total of 10.5 runs is 1-1. Today’s over/under line is set at 10.5 runs, and the over is on a 4-game streak for the Braves.
Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves
Max Fried will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, as he got the start and took the loss, going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs. In that outing, he gave up six hits, four walks, and four home runs. Fried has given up at least one home run in each of his last three starts. The left-hander’s record for the season is 7-6, and his ERA is 3.40. Looking at his home/away splits, Fried is 5-3 with a 6.02 ERA on the road compared to 2-3 with a 5.62 ERA at home.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 89 RBIs are 3rd in the MLB. He has also been a major power threat, as his 34 homers are 3rd in the league and the top mark on the Braves. Ozuna has gone deep three times over his last six games, but he is hitting just .261 in that stretch. First baseman Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 18 homers but is batting just .227 for the season.
As a team, the Braves are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game. However, they are just 15th in batting average and are near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. Atlanta’s offense has been led by their power hitters, as they are 7th in isolated power and have an average of .410.
Colorado has an overall series record of 8-26-3 and they have lost two straight series. Their season record is 43-74, putting them 24.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Rockies have yet to win a game as the favorite this season, and their average run differential as underdogs is -4.2 runs per game.
Against the run line, the Rockies are 59-58 overall and 31-26 at home. Their games have averaged 10.0 runs per game this season, with an over/under record of 59-56. The O/U line for today’s game is 10.5 runs, which is only the 21.4% of their games that have had O/U lines of 10.5 or higher.
Dakota Hudson Gets The Start For The Rockies
Colorado is sending Dakota Hudson to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers. In that start, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Hudson has given up at least three earned runs in each outing. Hudson’s record for the season is 2-12, and he has an ERA of 5.84. At home, he is 0-6 with a 9.52 ERA. Per nine innings, Hudson is averaging 4.8 walks compared to 5 strikeouts.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar have been the Rockies’ top power threats this season, as Doyle leads the team with 20 homers, and Tovar is right behind him with 19. Tovar is also batting .279 for the season, and Doyle comes in with a batting average of .263. Doyle has gone deep 20 times this season. Michael Toglia has also gone deep 19 times but is batting just .206 for the season.
Over his last seven games, Brendan Rodgers has gone 11/25 with six runs scored and one home run. This has pushed his season average up to .263. Brenton Doyle is just 5/32 in his last eight games, but he does have 20 homers this season. Jake Cave has also gone deep twice in his last seven games.
Braves vs Rockies Prediction
With the Rockies coming in at +163 to pick up the win at home, this is a great payout for a team that we have coming out on top. We actually have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Rockies.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Dakota Hudson actually has the third-best chances of picking up a win among all starters today. And with a payout of +163, we would be looking to jump on this one now, as we could see this line moving closer to even as we get closer to first pitch.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 10, 2024 Braves, Rockies