The Atlanta Braves (61-55) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (43-75) on Sunday, August 11th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 2:10 CT.
Braves vs. Rockies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Braves (-177)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 10.5 Runs
- The Braves have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- The Braves have won 4 out of their last 5 road games.
- The Braves have a 2-1 record against the Rockies in their last 3 head-to-head games.
- The Rockies have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
- The Rockies have a 17-43 record in home games this season, the worst in the league.
Braves vs Rockies
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Rockies series came right down to the end, as the Rockies rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 11-8 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -200 on the money line.
Atlanta’s offense got off to a fast start in this one, scoring five runs in the 1st and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Rockies didn’t get on the board until the 3rd and scored their final run in the 5th. As for the late rally, the Rockies scored three runs in the 6th and added two more in the 7th.
Matt Olson and Jorge Soler each homered twice for the Braves, while Marcell Ozuna went 2/5 with a homer. Sam Hilliard hit the game’s other home run while going 3/4 with five RBIs.
Atlanta’s overall series record this season is 19-14-5, and they are 32-26 at home. Their straight-up record is 61-55, and they are 4-6 in their last ten games. The Braves are 29-29 on the road and 18-16 against NL East teams. As the favorite, they have a 54-44 record, but as the underdog, they are 7-11.
Braves games have averaged 8.2 runs this season, resulting in an over/under record of 44-67. The over has hit in their last five games, and today’s O/U line of 10.5 runs is higher than usual. Only 1% of their games have had a total above 10.5, with Atlanta holding a 2-1 record in those matchups.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 4.04. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his most recent outing, Schwellenbach finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 4.61 compared to 2-3 with a 4.24 ERA at home.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 35 home runs are the 2nd most in the league. He is also 3rd in the MLB with 90 RBIs. Ozuna is batting .300 for the season and has gone 6/20 with three homers over his last five games. Jorge Soler has also been swinging a hot bat for the Braves, going 7/16 with two homers in his last four games. This has pushed his hitting streak to five games.
As a team, the Braves are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. This is just 17th in the league and is below their season-long average of 4.4 runs per game on the road. Atlanta comes into the game with a team batting average of .241, which is 13th in the league.
Colorado is 5th in the NL West with a 43-75 record, 25.5 games behind the Dodgers. They have gone 13-24 in divisional matchups and have a series record of 8-26-3 this season, having lost two straight series. The Rockies have yet to win a game as the favorite this year.
Against the run line, the Rockies are 59-59 overall and 31-27 at home, with a run line record of 28-32 on the road. Their over/under record for the season is 60-56, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line of 10.5 runs is higher than their average combined run average of 10.1 runs per game.
Kyle Freeland Gets The Start For The Rockies
Kyle Freeland will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Mets, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and two home runs. Looking back over his last four outings, Freeland has allowed at least one homer in each. His ERA for the season is 5.65, along with a record of 3-4. At home, he is 1-0 with a 2.73 ERA compared to 2-4 with a 12.12 ERA on the road. So far, he has made six quality starts.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
Colorado’s offense has been a little better at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. Overall, they are 18th in the league at 4.2 runs per contest. The Rockies have been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they have the 12th best batting average in the league.
Over his last eight games, Brendan Rodgers is hitting .433 with six runs scored. This has pushed his season average to .278. Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar are the team’s top two home run hitters, with 20 and 19 homers, respectively. Doyle also leads the team with 59 RBIs.
Braves vs Rockies Prediction
Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Braves. However, with the payout for a Braves win being -177, we recommend taking the over at 10.5 runs, as we see this game having a combined 11 runs.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher’s projections, we have Spencer Schwellenbach finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters today. As for Kyle Freeland, we have him finishing with just four K’s, which is third-worst.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 11, 2024 Braves, Rockies