Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8/26/2024

The Atlanta Braves (70-60) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (72-58) on Monday, August 26th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. Both the Braves and Twins are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.

Braves vs. Twins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Twins (-108)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Twins have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • The Twins have a home record of 37-26, indicating strong performance at home.
  • The Twins have won 6 of their last 8 home games.
  • The Twins have a head-to-head winning streak of 3 games against the Braves this season.
  • The Twins have a higher league rank (5th) compared to the Braves (6th).

Braves vs Twins

atlanta braves nba

The Twins Took The Last Game Of This Series

Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Nationals scored three runs in the top of the 7th. Atlanta was the -197 favorite at home going into the game.

Reynaldo Lopez put together a good start for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out seven. However, the Braves bullpen couldn’t close things out, and Luke Jackson took the loss out of the bullpen. The Braves also wasted a big game from Matt Olson, who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/4.

Atlanta has won four straight series overall and two straight on the road, and they are 70-60 overall, six games behind the Phillies in the NL East. As underdogs, the Braves are 13-10 straight up and 59-71 on the run line this season.

The Braves’ games have gone under in seven straight, and their season average runs per game is 8.1. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, with Atlanta’s overall O/U record at 47-78.

Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves

Max Fried is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he finished with a no-decision in that start. Against the Phillies, he gave up 2 earned runs, 4 hits, and 1 homer in 7 innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Fried has finished with a no-decision in two of them. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. Fried’s ERA for the season is 3.57, along with a record of 7-7. The left-hander has made 22 starts this year, along with two complete games and one shutout. In all, he has 11 quality starts.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been a huge run producer for the Braves this season, as his 94 RBIs is 5th in the league and leads the team. He is also 4th in the league with 37 home runs. Ozuna comes into the game with a team-high batting average of .305. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 66 RBIs but has struggled with a batting average of just .226.

Orlando Arcia has two home runs in his last five games but is just 4/18 in that stretch. Ramon Laureano has gone 7/18 in his last five games and also has one home run in that stretch. Arcia comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak, while Ronald Acuña Jr. is on a four-game hitting streak.

The Twins Took The Last Game Of This Series

Minnesota closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cardinals scored two runs in the top of the 9th. The Twins were the -142 favorite at home going into the game.

Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He pitched well, going five innings and giving up just one run while striking out seven. The Twins’s offense was carried by Willi Castro, who went 1/3 with a homer.

Minnesota has an overall series record of 24-15-3, and they have a 72-58 overall record, placing them 3rd in the AL Central, three games behind the Guardians. The Twins are 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central.

As the favorite, Minnesota has a 56-34 record, but as the underdog, they are 16-24. Against the run line, they are 42-48 as the favorite and 22-18 as the underdog. The average run total in Twins games this season is 9.2, and the over/under record is 66-60.

Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins

Minnesota is sending Bailey Ober to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he has made 24 starts this season. Ober’s record is 12-5, and he has an ERA of 3.54. In his 24 starts, he has turned in 15 quality starts and one complete game. Ober’s WHIP for the season is .99, and opponents are batting .204 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Ober has been much better at home, going 7-1 with a 2.94 ERA compared to 5-4 with a 7.31 ERA on the road.

Twins Offense Breakdown

minnesota twins

As a team, the Twins are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in team batting average and have the 6th best on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the league. Collectively, the Twins are also one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, ranking 7th in the league.

Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ most consistent power threat this season, as his 20 homers lead the team and are 15th in the MLB. Jeffers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/17 in his last six games with three homers. Carlos Santana and Willi Castro are also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, with 18 and 11 homers, respectively. Santana is 2nd on the team with 55 RBIs, and Castro is 3rd with 50.

Braves vs Twins Prediction

Our prediction for this Braves vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line, with the payout sitting at -108. We have the Twins winning this game by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bailey Ober is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, while Max Fried is projected to finish with five. However, Fried is predicted to allow fewer hits than Ober, with Fried giving up six hits compared to Ober at nine.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.