The Atlanta Braves (72-60) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (72-60) on Wednesday, August 28th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.
Braves vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (+124)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Twins have scored 6 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- The Twins have a 5-2 record in their last 7 home games.
- The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
- The Twins have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games.
- The Twins have a 3-1 record in their last 4 games against NL East opponents.
Braves vs Twins
Atlanta picked up an 8-6 road win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 10th inning, scoring four runs to pick up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -113 on the money line.
Both teams scored two runs in the 1st inning, and then the Twins went silent until they broke out for three runs in the 7th. As for the Braves, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th but didn’t score another run until the 10th. Heading into the game, the Braves had the higher team total at 4.5 runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach only went 4 2/3 innings for the Braves but didn’t give up a run and finished with eight strikeouts. He was outdueled by Simeon Woods Richardson, who gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work for the Twins.
Atlanta has been playing well, with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games and a four-game series win streak. They are 72-60 for the season, six games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves have a 23-15-5 series record and a +3.6 run margin in winning games.
When the O/U line is 7.5 runs, the Braves have a 9-15 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs this season, with 75.8% of their games having higher O/U lines than today’s 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.
Chris Sale Gets The Start For The Braves
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 14-3 with an ERA of 2.62. Sale’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.02. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 11.64 strikeouts per nine innings. Sale’s last outing came against the Nationals, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had gone six straight starts without taking a loss.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 37 homers are 4th in the league and the most on the Braves’ roster. Ozuna also comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .308. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 23 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .231.
Over his last nine games, Ramon Laureano has gone 12/35 (.343) with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .308. Whit Merrifield has also been hot of late, going 13/35 in his last nine games. As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 4th in the league in homers.
Minnesota has struggled recently, losing three straight games and two consecutive series. They are 2.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central with a 72-60 record. The Twins have a 24-15-3 series record this season.
On the run line, Minnesota is 42-49 as the favorite and 22-19 as the underdog. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and they have hit the over in 68 of their 128 games. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, below their season average of 8 runs per game.
David Festa Gets The Start For The Twins
Through seven starts, David Festa has a record of 2-3 and an ERA of 5.20. Overall, he has made eight appearances. Festa’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his last outing, he took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on three hits. Festa has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has a strikeout rate of 10.9 per nine innings compared to just 2.72 walks per nine innings.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Minnesota comes into today’s game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 7th in runs per game (4.9), and are also 7th in home runs. The Twins have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league.
Over the past five games, Trevor Larnach has gone 10/22 with two homers and eight RBIs, while Matt Wallner has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/21 with three homers in his last six games. Carlos Santana, who is 2nd on the team with 18 homers, comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
Braves vs Twins Prediction
Getting the Twins at +124 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Braves vs. Twins matchup. Our model has the Twins winning this one 5-4, and with the Twins’ money line sitting at +124, there is some solid value.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Chris Sale going for the Braves and David Festa for the Twins. Sale is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Festa with four. However, Sale has better odds of picking up a win, but we still like the Twins to get the win and would recommend taking them on the money line.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 28, 2024 Braves, Twins