Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Prediction 6/23/2024

The Atlanta Braves (42-32) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (52-27) on Sunday, June 23rd. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 12:35  CT.

Braves vs Yankees

atlanta braves nba

The Yankees offense only had two more hits than the Braves in the most recent game of this series. New York went into the matchup as the slight favorite at -133 and picked up an 8-3 win. Heading into the game, the Yankees had scored the same number of runs as the Braves for the series, as the Braves won the first game 5-2.

Marcus Stroman started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just three hits and two earned runs. Charlie Morton had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up five runs.

Aaron Judge and Trent Grisham each homered for the Yankees, while Travis d’Arnaud hit a home run for the Braves. Judge, Grisham, and Oswaldo Cabrera each had two RBIs for New York’s offense.

With a record of 42-32, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves are 12-11 in the division and have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games. At home, the Braves have been strong at 24-13, and they are just under .500 on the road at 18-19 this season.

As the favorite, the Braves have been good this year, going 40-26, and they are 16-13 as the road favorite. Atlanta has won four straight games as the favorite. So far, they are 2-6 as the underdog. The Braves’ overall series record is 14-8-2, and they have won two straight series.

The Braves are 36-38 against the run line this season, and they have a run line record of 19-18 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 32-34 against the run line as the favorite this season.

The Braves have played in 41.9% of their games this season with an over/under line higher than 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 28-43. Their combined run average for the season is 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 8-14. The average over/under line for their games this season has been set at 9 runs per game. Their current over streak is at 2 games.

Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves

Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 3.11. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has issued 2.89 walks per nine innings compared to 8.14 strikeouts. This season, he has two complete games and one shutout. In his last outing, Fried finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been a key part of the Braves offense this season, as he is batting .312 with 21 homers and 64 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league. Ozuna has also been getting on base at a high rate, with an OBP of .389. Over his last nine games, Austin Riley has been on fire, going 13/31 with four homers and nine RBIs.

Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They are also one of the top power-hitting teams in the league, as their collective ISO of .166 is 5th in the MLB. As a team, the Braves are batting .246, which is 10th in the league.

With a record of 52-27, the Yankees lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Orioles. New York is 24-13 at home this season and have been really good on the road, going 28-14. So far, they have gone just 10-12 in divisional games this year.

The Yankees will be hosting the Braves today, and they are 40-21 as the favorite this season. As the underdog, the Yankees have gone 12-6, and they are 17-5-2 in series this year. However, they have dropped two straight series.

When betting on the Yankees’ run line, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road, where they are 26-16. Their overall run line record is 46-33, with an average run margin of 1.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 20 of their 37 home games, and their average run margin in those games is 0.9 runs per game.

The New York Yankees are playing at home against the Atlanta Braves today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the combined run average of 8.7 runs per game for these two teams. The Yankees have a 39-38 over/under record on the season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 18 times and under 13 times. Their games have gone over the line in 24.1% of their games this season. The over has hit in their last four games.

Nestor Cortes Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he has made 16 starts this season. Cortes’ overall record is 4-5, and his ERA is 3.36. So far, he has made seven quality starts and is averaging 8.26 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Cortes didn’t allow a run and picked up the win, going six innings vs. the Orioles. Before that, he had allowed at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Cortes has been much better at home, coming in with a 1.68 ERA compared to 5.82 on the road.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

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Heading into today’s game, the Yankees’ offense is 4th in the league in scoring, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the top team on-base percentage in the league. Aaron Judge is the MLB leader in home runs and RBIs, while Juan Soto is 7th in the league with 18 homers.

Over his last nine games, Giancarlo Stanton has gone 12/33 with two homers, and Aaron Judge has three homers in this stretch, but is batting just .242. Stanton is also on a 10-game hitting streak. Anthony Volpe has gone deep six times this season and is batting .272 overall.

Braves vs Yankees Prediction

With the Yankees at -108 to pick up the win, this is a great payout for a team that we have coming out on top. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Yankees, giving us a bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nestor Cortes finishing with five strikeouts compared to Max Fried with four. Cortes is also projected to go just five innings, while Fried is projected to go six.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.