The Atlanta Braves (52-41) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (49-48) on Saturday, July 13th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on FOX. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.
Braves vs. Padres Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Padres (-110)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Padres have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- The Padres have a home record of 25-27, while the Braves have an away record of 23-24.
- The Padres have won 4 out of their last 5 home games against the Braves.
- The Padres have scored 9 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games.
- The Padres have a higher league rank (8th) compared to the Braves (21st) in the last 15 games.
Braves vs Padres
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Padres series took place on the road, with the Braves picking up a 6-1 win. Heading into the game, the Braves were at +100 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Spencer Schwellenbach for the Braves and Matt Waldron for the Padres. Schwellenbach went seven innings and gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Waldron lasted just seven innings and gave up four earned runs on six hits.
Atlanta’s offense was led by Marcell Ozuna and Orlando Arcia, as they were the only two Braves hitters to have more than one hit. Ozuna also homered twice and drove in two runs. Adam Duvall also had a two-hit game for Atlanta.
Atlanta has a 52-41 overall record and is 8.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves have a 14-12 record against NL East teams. This season, they have a 38-44 run line record as favorites, with an average winning margin of 3.7 runs per game.
For the season, the O/U record for Braves games is 32-56. The average total runs per game in Braves games is 7.9. The under has hit in their last two games, and their O/U record when the total is 7.5 runs is 6-10.
Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves
Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 7-2 with an ERA of 1.71. So far, López has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 9.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went six innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in back-to-back starts. López has been especially tough at home, coming in with an ERA of 1.27 compared to 2.48 on the road.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late, going 10/28 in his last seven games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .301 with 26 homers and 77 RBIs. Ozuna’s 77 RBIs are the 2nd most in the MLB. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as his 13 homers are the 2nd most on the team and 15th most in the league, but he is batting just .231.
Overall, the Braves offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been pretty consistent, averaging 4.3 runs per game both at home and on the road. As a team, the Braves are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and they are also 10th in the league in home runs. Their team on-base percentage is just 19th in the league.
San Diego’s struggles have been particularly evident at home, where they have lost five straight games and have a 25-27 record. Overall, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West with a 49-48 record, eight games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have lost five straight games and are 3-7 in their last ten.
When it comes to the run line, the Padres have been more profitable as underdogs with a 28-12 record, but as favorites, they are 21-36. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs this season, and their over/under record is 52-44. Heading into today’s game, the under has hit in two straight games, and their O/U record for games with a total of 7.5 runs is 16-16.
Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres
Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks. In that start, Cease took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. He finished the outing with 8 strikeouts, 5 hits, and 2 walks. Cease has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with a 4.21 ERA. Looking at his home/away splits, Cease is 3-5 with a 3.84 ERA at home compared to 4-3 with a 5.99 ERA on the road.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, as they are 2nd in team batting average and 8th in slugging percentage. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar has been one of the Padres’ top power threats this season, as his 14 homers are the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .231 over his last seven games. Profar has gone deep three times during this stretch, though. Jake Cronenworth is 2nd on the team with 13 homers and is currently on a six-game hitting streak.
Braves vs Padres Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Braves vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -110. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take them on the run line.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, Dylan Cease is predicted to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among all starters today. As for Reynaldo Lopez, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which ranks him 18th among all starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 13, 2024 Braves, Padres