The Atlanta Braves (52-42) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (50-48) on Sunday, July 14th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on BSSE. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Braves vs. Padres Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Padres (+152)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- Padres have scored 5 or more runs in 7 out of their last 15 games.
- Padres have a winning record at home with 26 wins and 27 losses, compared to the Braves’ away record of 23 wins and 25 losses.
- Padres have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- Padres have a recent head-to-head win against the Braves, scoring 6 runs on May 20th.
- Padres have a higher league rank in home wins (26) compared to the Braves’ away wins (23).
Braves vs Padres
San Diego picked up a 4-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense only had one more hit than the Braves and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -137 on the money line.
Dylan Cease started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Reynaldo Lopez got the start for the Braves and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
Manny Machado hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. David Peralta also had a two RBI game at the plate, going 3/4.
Atlanta’s overall series record this season is 17-11-3, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Padres. The Braves have a 5-5 record over their last ten games and are 2nd in the NL East with a 52-42 record, trailing the Phillies by 9.5 games.
On the run line, the Braves are 44-50 this season, with an average run margin of +0.7 per game. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game, and the over has hit in 32 of 73 games with totals higher than 7.5. Overall, the under has a 57-32 record in Braves games this season.
Chris Sale Gets The Start For The Braves
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 12-3. Sale’s ERA is 2.74, and he has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 8-0 and an ERA of 3.40. On the road, his record is 4-3, with an ERA of 2.74. Sale most recently faced the Diamondbacks, where he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Sale’s WHIP for the season is .94, and he is averaging 11.66 strikeouts per nine innings.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 26 home runs are 4th in the league and lead the Braves. He also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 13/35 (.371) with five homers and 10 RBIs. Ozuna’s 77 RBIs are 2nd in the league. Ozuna’s batting average for the season is .304.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Their team batting average of .241 is 14th in the league, and they are 11th in home runs. Overall, they have been a below-average team in terms of getting on base and taking walks.
San Diego has an overall series record of 17-12-3, but they have lost two straight series heading into today’s game. The Padres are 26-27 at home and 24-21 on the road this season. They are currently seven games behind the Dodgers in the NL West with a 50-48 record.
On the run line, the Padres have been much more profitable as underdogs, going 28-12, compared to 22-36 as favorites. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs, and the over has hit in 52 of their 97 games. The O/U line for their games has averaged 8 runs, and the under has hit in their last three games.
Randy Vásquez Gets The Start For The Padres
Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today vs. the Braves and comes into the game with a record of 2-4 and ERA of 4.66. Looking back at his last outing, Vásquez finished with a no-decision vs. the Diamondbacks, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He only gave up one homer in that outing. Vásquez has made 12 starts this year and has allowed a total of 11 homers. Per nine innings, he is averaging 5.9 strikeouts and just 2.17 walks. So far, he has turned in three quality starts.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.5 runs per game while batting .261 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. The Padres have also been the toughest team in the league to strike out this season. They have been a bit better offensively on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar has been one of the Padres’ top power threats this season, leading the team with 14 home runs. However, he is just 4/27 in his last seven games. Manny Machado has also hit two homers in his last seven games while batting .321. Overall, Machado is hitting .267 with 13 homers, which is 2nd on the team.
Braves vs Padres Prediction
We see the Padres coming away with a 5-4 win over the Braves in this one, and with the Padres sitting at +152 on the money line, that is the way we recommend playing this matchup.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Sale is projected to pick up nine strikeouts, and he has the highest strikeout projection among all starters today. As for Randy Vásquez, he is projected to finish with five K’s, and the Padres are projected to finish with a team total of seven.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 14, 2024 Braves, Padres