The Baltimore Orioles (49-26) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (36-40) on Saturday, June 22nd. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on MASN. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Orioles vs Astros
Houston cruised to a 14-11 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 6th inning, scoring nine of their fourteen runs. As for the Orioles, they scored seven of their eleven runs in the 8th inning. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight underdogs at +131.
Shawn Dubin got the win for the Astros out of the bullpen, while Bryan Abreu got the save. Grayson Rodriguez had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss.
Jose Altuve, Joey Loperfido, and Jon Singleton each homered for the Astros. Altuve, Alex Bregman, and Mauricio Dubon each had two hits and two RBIs while scoring two runs.
The Orioles are 49-26 overall and trail the Yankees by just a half-game for the AL East lead. Baltimore is 19-7 in AL East matchups this season. Currently, they are on a four-game winning streak in series and have an overall series record of 17-4-3.
So far, the Orioles have been good both at home (25-14) and on the road (24-12). As the favorite, the Orioles are 39-21 this year, and they are 10-5 as the underdog. Baltimore’s pitching staff has been solid this year, allowing just 3.8 runs per game.
When the Orioles are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, going 24-12 this season. Their average run margin in all games is +1.6, and they have a +1.9 run differential on the road. Baltimore is 12-3 against the run line as an underdog.
The Orioles are on the road against the Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-27. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 9-5-3. The over has hit in three straight games for the Orioles.
Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 8-2 with an ERA of 2.14. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is 1.04, and opponents are batting .193 off him this year. In his last outing, Burnes went six innings and gave up two earned runs, picking up the win. He has won each of his last three starts. Burnes has been especially tough at home, coming in with a 1.92 ERA compared to 2.68 on the road.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles have been the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top slugging percentage in the league. Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the team’s top power threats, as Rutschman has 14 homers and Henderson has 24.
Anthony Santander has been on a tear as of late, going 12/38 with six homers over his last nine games. For the season, he is batting just .237. Gunnar Henderson has also been swinging a hot bat, going 14/40 in his last nine games. Henderson is currently on a 14-game hitting streak.
The Astros are currently 36-40 overall, putting them seven games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. Houston has won three straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10. In the AL West, they lead the Rangers by a half-game for the second spot in the division.
At home, the Astros are 20-19 this year and 16-21 on the road. As the favorite, Houston has gone 28-32 this year and 8-8 as the underdog. Houston has an overall series record of 12-11-1 this year and have won two straight series.
At home, the Astros have a +0.7 run differential, and they are 18-21 against the run line. As the favorite, they are 25-35 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 9-7. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.9, and in losing games, it is -3.3.
In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the Astros are 2-6-1, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their overall over/under record is 27-46, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game. In 68.4% of their games, the over/under line has been set at more than 8 runs.
Ronel Blanco Gets The Start For The Astros
Ronel Blanco gets the start for the Astros today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Tigers, Blanco went seven innings, picking up the win and giving up just three hits. Blanco has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 7-2 with a 2.43 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting just .164 off Blanco this season. One of his wins this year came in a complete-game shutout. Blanco has eight quality starts this year and a total of 1.0 shutouts.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, with a team batting average of .261. They also lead the league in fewest strikeouts per game and are near the top of the league in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, but that number jumps up to 5 runs per game when playing at home. The Astros have also been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams this season.
Jose Altuve is currently on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 10/27 in his last seven games, including one home run and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .301 with 11 homers. Yordan Alvarez has gone deep 15 times this season and is 2nd on the team with 39 RBIs. Kyle Tucker leads the team with 40 RBIs and is 5th in the league with 19 home runs.
Orioles vs Astros Prediction
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line, with the payout sitting at +129. We actually have the Astros winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there is also some value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and while he has the sixth-best strikeout projection among starters, we don’t see him picking up the win. As for Ronel Blanco, we have him finishing with six K’s and have him picking up the win, as he has the sixth-best chances to get a win among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 24, 2024 Astros, Orioles