The Baltimore Orioles (73-52) travel to face off against the New York Mets (64-60) on Monday, August 19th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MLBN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Orioles vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-128)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- The Mets have a 6-3 record at home in their last 9 home games.
- The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
- The Mets have outscored their opponents by a total of 15 runs in their last 3 home games.
- The Mets have a 3-1 record in their last 4 games against the Orioles.
Orioles vs Mets
The Orioles Are Coming Off A Win
Gunnar Henderson had only one hit in the Orioles’ most recent game vs. the Red Sox, but it was a big one, as it was a home run. The Orioles went on to pick up the json 4-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. It was a good day all around, as the Orioles’s offense scored their four runs on just three hits. They also drew five walks.
Albert Suarez put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Red Sox batters. Baltimore’s bullpen closed things out with Seranthony Dominguez picking up the save.
Today’s game against the Mets is crucial for the Orioles as they are tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead with a 73-52 record. The Orioles have a 28-15 division record, which is tied with the Yankees for the best in the AL East. Baltimore is 36-24 on the road and has a 68-57 run line record this season, covering the run line in three straight road games.
Looking at the over/under trends, the under has hit in two straight games for the Orioles, and their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season. Today’s total of 8.5 runs is lower than their usual lines, as they have played in 39 games with higher totals than today’s. The Orioles have a 23-11-6 series record heading into today’s matchup.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Orioles
Trevor Rogers will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, as he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Rogers finished with a record of 0-1 for the month of August. Before that outing, he had made three straight starts, giving up at least five earned runs in each of those outings. Rogers’ overall record is 2-11, and he has an ERA of 4.89. Opponents are batting .281 off the left-hander this season. Per nine innings, he has 6.92 strikeouts and 3.99 walks.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 1st in the league in slugging percentage. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. Baltimore has been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.
Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/37 in his last nine games, with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .288 and is 2nd on the team with 33 homers. Anthony Santander has 36 homers this season, which is the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. His 80 RBIs are 13th best in the MLB.
The Mets Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Marlins scored two runs in the top of the 8th. New York was the -195 favorite at home going into the game.
Paul Blackburn put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out four. However, the Mets couldnjson’t close things out, and Reed Garrett took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a big game from Brandon Nimmo, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/3.
At home, the Mets have a 33-32 straight-up record and are 28-37 against the run line. Overall, they are 64-60 straight-up and 59-65 against the run line. The over/under record for Mets games this season is 63-57, with an average of 9.3 runs per game.
As favorites, the Mets have a 41-34 straight-up record and are 31-44 against the run line. They are 26-21 straight-up as home favorites. The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have a series record of 20-16-7 this season.
David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets
David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today vs. the Orioles and comes in with a record of 7-1 and an ERA of 3.04. So far, he has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .238 this season. In his 13 appearances, Peterson has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Peterson went 6 1/3 innings vs. the Athletics, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. The left-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 3.01 compared to 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA at home.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets of late, going 14/38 in his last nine games, with two homers and five RBIs. He is also currently on a 12-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .264 with 24 homers and 72 RBIs. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 27 long balls are 10th in the MLB. However, he is hitting just .243 for the season and has gone 7/34 in his last nine games.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, where they are averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the league. New York comes into the game with the 8th best on-base percentage in the league.
Orioles vs Mets Prediction
Getting the Mets at -128 on the money line is the best way to go for today’s Orioles vs. Mets matchup. We have the Mets winning this one by a score of 6-5. Looking at some of the Mets and Orioles players’ projections, there are a few things that stand out.
For the Mets, David Peterson is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among today’s starters. As for Trevor Rogers, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters.
Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with eight hits compared to the Orioles with nine. However, the Orioles are projected to hit more home runs than the Mets.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 19, 2024 Mets, Orioles