The Baltimore Orioles (73-53) travel to face off against the New York Mets (65-60) on Tuesday, August 20th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MASN. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Orioles vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-125)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Mets have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Mets have a 65-60 overall record compared to the Orioles’ 73-53, but the Mets have a better home record (34-32) than the Orioles’ away record (36-25).
- The Mets have won 3 out of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record.
- The Mets have outscored their opponents by 10 runs in their last 5 home games.
Orioles vs Mets
New York picked up a 4-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Orioles could only muster one run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -138 on the money line.
David Peterson pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued a costly home run. Edwin Diaz closed things out for the Mets, getting the win.
Trevor Rogers got the start for the Orioles, going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks and allowed a home run. Seranthony Dominguez took the loss.
Overall, the Orioles have a 73-53 record this season and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. They are 2nd in the AL East, just half a game behind the Yankees. Against the run line on the road, they are 37-24 and have covered it in four straight games.
When the O/U line is 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 20-15. This season, their games have averaged 9.3 runs, and their overall O/U record is 68-48. Heading into today’s game, the under has hit in their last three games.
Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles
Dean Kremer is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Nationals and picked up the win. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking back further, Kremer had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings before that. For the season, he has made 17 starts, has a record of 5-9, and an ERA of 4.48. Opponents are batting .222 off Kremer this season, and his WHIP is 1.28. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 3.79 compared to 8.37 strikeouts per nine innings.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s best isolated power mark. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. The Orioles have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average at .255.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Santander leading the team with 36 homers and Henderson right behind him at 33. Henderson has a better batting average this season, hitting .287 compared to Santander’s .240. Henderson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/31 with four homers in his last eight games.
Overall, the Mets have a 65-60 record and are 4-6 in their last 10 games. They trail the Phillies by 8.5 games in the NL East and have a 22-17 record in divisional games. As the underdog, they are 23-26, and as the favorite, they are 42-34.
This season, the Mets games have averaged 9.3 runs, and their over/under record is 63-58. On the run line, they are 59-66, with a +0.2 average run margin. The under has hit in their last three games, and the O/U line for today is 8.5 runs.
Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets
Jose Quintana will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. Against the Athletics on August 15th, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back further, Quintana has lost three of his last four starts. His record for the season is 6-8, and he has an ERA of 4.26. Opponents are batting .238 off Quintana this year. The left-hander has made eight quality starts and is averaging 7.19 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Quintana has allowed 20 home runs.
Mets Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 5th ranked home run hitting team and have the league’s 11th best team batting average at .250. New York also does a good job of working the count, as they are 7th in the league in walks.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 (.310) in his last seven games, with two homers. Overall, he is batting .263 with 24 homers. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 27 long balls are 10th best in the MLB. He comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is 8/26 in his last seven games.
Orioles vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Orioles vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -125. We have the Mets winning this one by a final score of 6-5, which would also give you a good payout if you wanted to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana finishing with four strikeouts, which is better than Dean Kremer, who we have finishing with just four K’s. Quintana also has a better chance of picking up the win, as he is 10th among starters in our projections, compared to Kremer, who is 14th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 20, 2024 Mets, Orioles