Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction 8/21/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (74-53) travel to face off against the New York Mets (65-61) on Wednesday, August 21st. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MLBN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.

Orioles vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (-134)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Mets have scored an average of 5.5 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
  • The Mets have a 34-33 home record, while the Orioles have a 37-28 away record.
  • The Mets have won 3 of their last 4 games against teams with winning records.
  • The Mets have a higher league rank in home wins (34) compared to the Orioles’ away wins (37).

Orioles vs Mets

baltimore orioles nba

Baltimore cruised to a 9-5 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Mets, they scored their final run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +110 on the money line.

Dean Kremer pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going six innings and giving up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued three walks. Jose Quintana had a rough outing for the Mets, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work.

At the plate, Baltimore was led by James McCann and Anthony Santander, who each homered and drove in three runs. Cedric Mullins also had a two-hit game and scored three times for the Orioles’ offense.

As the favorite, Baltimore has a 61-41 record and they are 13-12 as the underdog. Their overall series record this year is 23-11-6. Against the run line, the Orioles are 70-57, including a 38-24 record on the road. They have covered the run line in five straight road games and three straight as underdogs.

Currently, the Orioles lead the AL East with a 74-53 record, a half-game ahead of the Yankees. They have a 28-15 record against divisional opponents. Baltimore’s games this season have averaged 9.4 runs, and their O/U record is 69-48. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs.

Cole Irvin Gets The Start For The Orioles

Cole Irvin will be looking to get back on track as he faces the Mets today. The left-hander is coming off three straight bullpen outings in which he didn’t factor into the decision. His most recent outing came on July 29th, where he went three innings and gave up one earned run on four hits. In that outing, he gave up one home run. Irvin has a record of 6-5 this season and an ERA of 4.85. Opposing batters are hitting .289 off Irvin this season. He has made 14 starts, four of which were quality starts, and his ERA on the road is 5.15 compared to 5.62 at home.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Orioles are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Baltimore’s offense has been especially good in terms of power, as they lead the league in home runs and also have the best team slugging percentage in the MLB. Their isolated power of .196 is also the best in the league.

Anthony Santander has been the Orioles’ top power threat this season, as his 37 home runs is 3rd in the league and leads the team. Gunnar Henderson is also a big power threat, as he is 5th in the league with 33 homers. Henderson has been hot of late, going 4/34 in his last nine games, with four home runs.

When favored at home, the Mets have a 27-22 record, but as underdogs, they are 23-26. Their overall run line record is 59-67, with a 28-39 record at home and 31-28 on the road. The Mets have gone over the total 24 times and under 15 times in games with an 8.5 run total line.

The Mets are currently in 3rd place in the NL East, 8.5 games behind the Phillies. They are two games behind the Braves for the 2nd spot in the division. This season, the Mets have an overall record of 65-61.

Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets

Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today and is facing the Orioles at home. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with a 3.46 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21, and opponents are batting .211 off the left-hander this year. In his last outing, Manaea gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had pitched seven scoreless innings in back-to-back outings. Manaea has a total of nine quality starts this year.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 5th in home runs this season and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. New York has been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and are 7th in on-base percentage. Their team on-base percentage is .322.

Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/33 in his last eight games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .265 with 24 homers and 72 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been a big power threat for the Mets, as he has 27 homers and 69 RBIs to go along with a batting average of .242.

Orioles vs Mets Prediction

Our prediction for the Mets vs. Orioles matchup is that the Mets will pick up a 6-5 win at home. If you’re looking for a recommended bet, we would take the Mets on the money line at -134.

Looking at the starting pitchers, both Cole Irvin and Sean Manaea have a good chance to pick up a win, with our projections having them both going six innings. However, we have Manaea finishing with more strikeouts and giving up fewer runs than Irvin.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.