Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 7/5/2024

The Toronto Blue Jays (39-48) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (48-41) on Friday, July 5th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on SNET. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (+125)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • The Blue Jays have scored 9 runs in 3 of their last 8 games, demonstrating their offensive capability.
  • In their last 15 games, the Blue Jays have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, showing consistent offensive production.
  • In their last 5 away games, the Blue Jays have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game.
  • The Blue Jays have won 3 out of their last 5 away games, indicating strong recent road performance.
  • In head-to-head matchups this season, the Blue Jays have won 2 out of 3 games against the Mariners.

Blue Jays vs Mariners

toronto blue jays nba

The Mariners Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 3rd inning before the Astros scored three runs in the inning. Toronto was the -107 favorite at home going into the game.

Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Astros but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 1st inning. Spencer Horwitz was hot right out of the gates, going 3/4 with two RBIs. However, the Blue Jays couldn’t get anything going after the 1st inning, and Chris Bassitt took the loss, going five innings and giving up four earned runs.

As the underdog, the Blue Jays have struggled this season, posting a 9-28 record, including a 7-17 mark on the road. Overall, Toronto is 39-48 and they are currently in 5th place in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 16 games.

On the run line, the Blue Jays have been a solid bet on the road, going 24-18. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, resulting in a 41-43 over/under record. This season, 96.6% of their games have had over/under lines higher than 7 runs, and the under has hit in all three games with a total of 7 runs.

Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

The Blue Jays are sending Kevin Gausman to the mound today vs. the Mariners, and he comes in with a record of 6-7 and an ERA of 4.75. Gausman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.34. In his 17 starts, he has one complete game shutout and seven quality starts. Gausman’s ERA at home is 8.31 compared to 5.42 on the road. He most recently faced the Yankees, where he gave up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

Over the last nine games, George Springer has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 14/30 with four home runs and 13 RBIs. Springer’s recent surge has him batting .296 for the season with 13 homers and 50 RBIs, which is good for the top spot on the team. Daulton Varsho is second on the team in RBIs, but he is hitting just .199 for the season.

As a team, the Blue Jays are 24th in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .235. However, they do come into the game as one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.

The Mariners Are Coming Off A Win

Seattle closed out their series vs. the Orioles with a 7-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +128 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that turned things in their favor, and the Orioles could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.

Bryce Miller put together a good start for the Mariners, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Seattle’s offense was carried by Julio Rodriguez, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Seattle has struggled recently, losing five straight series and going 3-7 in their last ten games. They are 48-41 overall and hold a two-game lead over the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners have been great against their division rivals, posting a 17-5 record.

Against the run line, the Mariners are 41-48, with a +0.7 scoring margin at home. As the favorite, they are 21-31 vs. the run line, while as the underdog, they are 20-17. The over has hit in 36 of their 84 games, with an average total line of 8 runs.

Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces off against the Blue Jays. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 3.87. So far, Castillo has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.86 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last three outings, Castillo has taken the loss in each, most recently giving up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Twins. He has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts. The right-hander’s ERA for the season is 3.44 at home compared to 4.92 on the road.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Cal Raleigh has been struggling at the plate for the Mariners, batting just .198 for the season and .194 over his last nine games. However, he has gone deep three times over that stretch. Overall, Raleigh leads the team with 51 RBIs and is 11th in the league with 15 home runs. Mitch Garver has also been struggling this season, hitting just .177.

Julio Rodriguez is batting .247 for the season and is 4th on the team with eight home runs. J.P. Crawford has gone 8/33 in his last nine games and is batting .242 for the season. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .216, which is the worst mark in the MLB.

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction

We like the Blue Jays on the money line at +125. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Blue Jays, so there is some value in taking them straight up.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Castillo is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Kevin Gausman at six. However, we still have Castillo finishing with a higher ERA than Gausman.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.