The Boston Red Sox (41-36) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (36-40) on Sunday, June 23rd. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Red Sox vs Reds
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs. Reds series. Boston went into the matchup as slight favorites at -117 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Red Sox offense only had nine hits in the game and struck out six times.
Cincinnati had a chance to win the game in the 9th inning, but Kenley Jansen closed things out for the Red Sox. Justin Wilson took the loss for the Reds out of the bullpen.
Nick Pivetta got the start for Boston, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Zack Kelly got the win out of the bullpen.
Boston is 41-36 overall and trails the Yankees by 10 games in the AL East. The Red Sox are 10-9 against other AL East teams this season. The Red Sox are on a four-game winning streak as the underdog, and they are 20-21 as the underdog overall.
At home, the Red Sox are 18-20 this year and have gone 23-16 on the road. Boston’s overall record has been helped by an 8-2 mark over their last 10 games. So far, they are 11-9-4 in series this year and have won three straight series.
The Red Sox have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 22-17. They are 14-24 vs. the run line at home. Their average run margin on the road is +1.3, compared to -0.2 at home. They have been a strong run line bet as the underdog this season, going 24-17.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Red Sox have played 72 games this season, and their over/under record is 34-38. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 2-6. The over/under line for their games has been set at 9.5 runs or higher in only 3 of their games this season, which accounts for just 3.9% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Zack Kelly Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Zack Kelly is getting the start for the Red Sox today and has made one start and 19 appearances this season. He has a record of 2-1, an ERA of 1.75, and a WHIP of .94. Per nine innings, Kelly is averaging 9.47 strikeouts and 4.56 walks. The last time he pitched, Kelly picked up the win, going one-third of an inning out of the bullpen and not allowing a run. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight appearances, going 1 1/3 innings in each outing. Kelly hasn’t allowed a run in any of his last three outings.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .253, which is 6th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.
Currently, the Red Sox have three players with at least seven homers, with Tyler O’Neill leading the way with 15 long balls. O’Neill has also gone deep three times in his last seven games, going 7/27 (.259) over that stretch. Jarren Duran and Connor Wong are both on 12-game hitting streaks.
Cincinnati is 36-40 overall and trails the Brewers by 7.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 5th in the division and are 9-10 in games against other NL Central teams. So far, they are 19-20 at home compared to 17-20 on the road.
The Reds have won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 19-13 overall as the favorite this year. As the home favorite, the Reds have gone 12-12. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 8-14-2, and they have lost two straight series.
The Reds have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 41-35 overall. They have been even better on the road, where they are 24-13 against the run line. Their average run margin is +0.2 runs per game, and they have a positive run differential both at home (+0.5) and on the road (+0.2).
The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 31-42 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.2 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, but when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in 11 out of 18 games. The under has hit in their last seven games.
Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 8-2 with a 2.75 ERA. Lodolo has been pitching well recently, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three outings. In his most recent start, he went seven innings and gave up just one earned run. Lodolo has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 9.64 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed six homers and is walking just 2.07 batters per nine innings.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Jeimer Candelario has been on a tear of late for the Reds, going 14/37 with five homers over his last 10 games. For the season, he is batting .255 with 14 homers and 37 RBIs. Spencer Steer has also been a good power threat for the Reds, as his 45 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and his nine homers are 3rd on the team.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 14th in home runs, but are batting just .226 as a team.
Red Sox vs Reds Prediction
Our prediction for this game is that the Red Sox will pick up a 6-5 road win, and with the Red Sox at +139 on the money line, that is the bet we will be targeting. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zack Kelly finishing with five strikeouts, which has him 15th among today’s starters.
As for Nick Lodolo, he is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, and with the Reds at home, we have them finishing with 10 hits compared to the Red Sox with 11.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Red Sox with the over, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs, and we have the teams combining for 11 runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 24, 2024 Red Sox, Reds