The Boston Red Sox (45-39) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (30-55) on Wednesday, July 3rd. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-143)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 15 games, showing strong recent performance.
- In their last 15 games, the Red Sox have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game, indicating a potent offense.
- The Red Sox have won 6 of their last 7 away games, demonstrating their ability to perform well on the road.
- In their last 3 games against the Marlins, the Red Sox have outscored them 20-9, showing dominance in head-to-head matchups.
- The Red Sox have a positive run differential of +15 over their last 15 games, indicating overall strong team performance.
Red Sox vs Marlins
Boston cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -163 on the money line.
Kutter Crawford started for the Red Sox and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Valente Bellozo got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, going five innings and giving up five earned runs.
At the plate, Boston was led by Ceddanne Rafaela and Jarren Duran, who each homered and scored three times. Rafaela, Masataka Yoshida, and Rafael Devers each had two RBIs for the Red Sox’ offense.
As the road favorite, the Red Sox have been strong this season with an 11-3 record. They have won two straight games and two straight series on the road. Boston’s over/under record for games with an 8-run total is 8-5-2, and their average run total for the season is 8.8.
Overall, Boston is 45-39 and they are 11-10 in the AL East. They trail the Orioles by 8.5 games in the division and are currently in 3rd place. The Red Sox have a 24-18 record as the favorite and a 21-21 record as the underdog this season.
Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 5.55. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.47, and opponents are batting .262 off the right-hander this year. In his 14 starts, Bello has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.07 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Bello took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .254, which is 7th in the league, and they are also one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, coming in 6th in isolated power.
Over the team’s last nine games, both Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers have been swinging the bat well, with Duran going 14/38 and Devers going 12/34. During this stretch, both players have four homers. Devers is currently leading the Red Sox with 18 homers, and his 47 RBIs are also the best on the team. Duran is 3rd on the team in RBIs and is batting .287 for the season.
In the NL East, the Marlins are 5th and are 26 games behind the Phillies. Miami’s overall record is 30-55, and they have lost two straight games. Against the run line, the Marlins are 37-48, and as underdogs, they have a 36-34 record. The over has hit in two consecutive games for Miami, and their season over/under record is 44-40.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 1-8 with an ERA of 4.87. Rogers has a WHIP of 1.56 and has issued 3.98 walks per nine innings compared to 7.08 strikeouts. Looking at his overall numbers, Rogers has allowed 10 homers at home and is 0-4 with a 5.45 ERA at home. On the road, he is 1-4 with a 6.85 ERA. Rogers’ last outing came vs. the Phillies, where he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the majors. Miami has been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .231 and have the worst team ISO in the league.
Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as he is 12th in the league with 15 homers. However, he is hitting just .239. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been a solid power threat, with 10 homers and a batting average of .256. Over his last seven games, Nick Gordon is hitting .296 with two homers, and he is currently on a seven-game hitting streak.
Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction
We see the Red Sox coming away with a 5-4 road win over the Marlins, and with the Red Sox at -143 on the money line, this is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Trevor Rogers finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Brayan Bello with six. However, Rogers is projected to go deeper into the game, finishing with one more inning than Bello.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 3, 2024 Marlins, Red Sox