The Boston Red Sox (46-39) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (30-56) on Thursday, July 4th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.

Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-161)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• Red Sox have won 6 out of their last 8 road games.
• Red Sox have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games.
• Red Sox have a 3-game winning streak.
• Red Sox have won 4 out of their last 5 games against NL East opponents.
• Red Sox have a better away record (26-16) compared to Marlins’ home record (16-29).

Red Sox vs Marlins

Boston cruised to a 7-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 9th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -128 on the money line.

Rafael Devers, Ceddanne Rafaela, Masataka Yoshida, and Tyler O’Neill each homered for the Red Sox. Devers, Yoshida, and O’Neill each scored twice. Connor Wong also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.

Brayan Bello pitched well for the Red Sox in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. Trevor Rogers had a rough outing for the Marlins, giving up two earned runs in just three innings of work.

On the road, Boston has been a strong run line bet with a 25-17 record, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games. Their average scoring margin on the road is +1.5 runs per game. Overall, the Red Sox are 46-39 this season and have won two straight series on the road.

In the AL East, Boston is 8.5 games behind the Orioles and is currently in 3rd place. They have an even 21-21 record as underdogs and are 12-3 as road favorites. The Red Sox have played 41 over games out of 80 this season, and the over has hit in 15 of the 26 games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs or more.

Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 4-5. Pivetta’s ERA is 4.52, and he is coming off a rough outing in which he took the loss. Against the Padres on June 28th, he gave up five earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Pivetta has finished with a no-decision, a win, and a loss. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.22.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

One of the reasons the Red Sox offense has been so good this season is that they have been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, while also having a collective batting average of .254, which is the 6th best mark in the league. So far, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Boston has also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 25th best mark in the league.

Rafael Devers has been on a tear of late, going 13/31 in his last eight games with four homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .291 with a team-high 49 RBIs and 18 homers, which is the 9th best mark in the MLB. Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have also been key run producers for the Red Sox, as Duran has 40 RBIs and O’Neill has 28. Duran is also 3rd on the team with 10 homers and is batting .285, while O’Neill is batting .261.

Overall, the Marlins have a 30-56 record and are currently on a three-game losing streak. They are 27 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, sitting in 5th place. Miami’s series record is 7-18-2, and they have an over/under record of 45-40 for the season.

As underdogs, the Marlins have a 27-44 straight-up record, but as favorites, they are just 3-12. Against the run line, they have a 1-14 record when favored, but are 36-35 as underdogs. Miami’s games this season have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and the over has hit in their last three games.

Kyle Tyler Gets The Start For The Marlins

Kyle Tyler will be making his first home start of the season for the Marlins, as he has started two games on the road. In his last outing, he went 4 2/3 innings against the Phillies, giving up just 1 earned run. He took the loss, but has yet to factor into a decision this year.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also the worst home run hitting team in the league, and their team batting average of .231 is 17th in the league. One of the few bright spots for the Marlins offense has been Bryan De La Cruz, who leads the team with 40 RBIs and is 12th in the league with 15 homers. He is batting .240 for the season.

Jake Burger has two homers in his last nine games while going 9/36 (.250). Burger is also on a three-game hitting streak. Nick Gordon is currently on a seven-game hitting streak for the Marlins.

Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction

Our predicted score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Red Sox, so if you’re looking for a money line pick, then taking the Red Sox at -161 is a solid option. However, we really like the over in this one, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.

If you’re looking for some player props, Nick Pivetta is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters today. As for Kyle Tyler, we have him finishing with five K’s, which has him coming in at 20th.

Looking at the lineups, the Red Sox are projected to out-home run the Marlins by a wide margin, with the Marlins finishing with the second-fewest home runs on the day.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.