Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction
PublishedSeptember 4, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:September 4, 2024 ,

MLB Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction 9/4/2024

The Boston Red Sox (70-69) travel to face off against the New York Mets (75-64) on Wednesday, September 4th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Red Sox vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-110)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have scored 6 or more runs in 4 games, showing their offensive potential.
  • The Red Sox have a better away record (39-31) compared to the Mets’ home record (37-33), indicating stronger performance on the road.
  • The Red Sox have won 3 out of their last 5 away games, demonstrating recent success on the road.
  • In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have won 4 games against teams with winning records, showing they can compete against strong opponents.
  • The Red Sox have a higher league rank (8th in AL) compared to the Mets (7th in NL), indicating a relatively stronger overall performance.

Red Sox vs Mets

boston red sox nba

New York cruised to a 7-2 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -135 on the money line.

David Peterson pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts but did issue one walk. Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 1/4 with three RBIs. Lindor, Alonso, and Vientos each scored twice for New York’s offense.

On the road, the Red Sox have been the better run line play this season, with a 40-30 record vs. the run line. Overall, they are 21-17-6 in series, but they are currently down 0-2 in their series vs. the Mets. Boston’s over/under record for the season is 71-61, and their games on the road have had an average total line of 9 runs.

Boston is 10.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East, and they have lost four straight games heading into today’s matchup. Their overall record is 70-69, and they are 10 games below .500. As the road favorite, the Red Sox have a 15-5 straight-up record this season, and their overall record as the favorite is 37-31.

Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Right-hander Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with a 3.12 ERA. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision after going six innings and not giving up a run against the Tigers. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Houck has one complete game shutout this season.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, the Red Sox are 8th in the league in home runs and have the league’s best team BABIP at .32. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 28 home runs are 10th in the league. He is also leading the team with 80 RBIs and comes into the game with a batting average of .279. Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/24 in his last six games, including one home run. Tyler O’Neill is also near the top of the league in home runs, with 25, and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets have won six straight and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. They have an overall series record of 23-16-8 and are 75-64 for the season, 7.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Mets are 37-33 at home and 38-31 on the road, and their run line record is 69-70.

This season, Mets games have averaged 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 69-66. When the total has been set at 8 runs, their O/U record is 14-7. In 55.4% of their games, the total has been set above 8 runs.

Tylor Megill Gets The Start For The Mets

New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the White Sox, he allowed just five hits and issued one walk. Megill finished with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 4.82. Looking back at his last 10 starts, Megill has just one quality start and has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings. Opponents are batting .235 this season vs. Megill.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been a little better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. New York is also one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, as they are 6th in the league in homers and have a collective isolated power mark of .171, which is 7th in the league.

Francisco Lindor comes into the game on a 14-game hitting streak and is batting .273 for the season. He has also gone 7/19 with two homers over his last five games. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, as he has 31 long balls this season, which is the best mark on the team and 7th in the MLB.

Red Sox vs Mets Prediction

We are predicting a 6-5 win for the Red Sox and would recommend taking them on the money line, as they are paying out at -110. Our predictions have the Red Sox finishing with 11 strikeouts, which is the second-most in the league today.

If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could look to add in some of our hitter projections. We have the Red Sox finishing with 11 hits and the Mets with eight. Offensively, we have the Red Sox finishing with the third most runs in the league today, while the Mets are down in fifth.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.