The Boston Red Sox (39-35) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (35-38) on Wednesday, June 19th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on None. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs Blue Jays series. Boston went into the matchup as -134 favorites and squeaked out a 4-3 win. Toronto had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning but could only muster one run.
Tanner Houck got the start for the Red Sox, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. Zack Kelly got the win out of the bullpen, and Kenley Jansen got the save. Chris Bassitt put together a good outing for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
At the plate, Tyler O’Neill hit the game’s only home run and went 2/4 with three RBIs. Ceddanne Rafaela also had a three-hit game for Boston. Ernie Clement went 1/4 with two RBIs for Toronto.
Boston is on a four-game winning streak, and they are 39-35 overall this season. In the AL East, they trail the Yankees by 11.5 games. So far, they are 9-9 in divisional matchups. The Red Sox took the first two games of this series vs. the Blue Jays and are 10-9-4 in series this year.
At home, the Red Sox are 18-20 this year, and they have gone 21-15 on the road. As the underdog, the Red Sox have a record of 19-21 this year, and they have won three straight as the underdog overall. Boston’s two most recent wins have come in extra-innings.
When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.5 runs. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs. They have a run line record of 35-39 on the season, with a run line record of 21-15 on the road. They are 3-0 against the run line as the underdog in their last three games.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road to face the Toronto Blue Jays today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below the combined run average for these teams this season. The Red Sox have played 69 games this season, and the O/U record is 33-36. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, the record is 13-11. So far this season, 24.3% of the games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs.
Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Right-hander Brayan Bello is getting the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. Bello has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 6-4 with an ERA of 5.00. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.40. In his 12 appearances, Bello has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 8 strikeouts per nine innings. Bello’s last outing came on June 14th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. He has taken the loss in each of his last two outings.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB, and are also one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, coming in 9th in home runs and 5th in isolated power.
Center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela and left fielder Tyler O’Neill have been swinging hot bats of late, with Rafaela hitting .609 over his last six games and O’Neill going 8/23 with four homers in his last five games. O’Neill’s four homers have him at 15 for the season, which is 8th best in the league and the top mark on the Red Sox roster.
Toronto is 35-38 overall and 15 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Red Sox by 4.5 games for the 3rd spot in the division. The Blue Jays have dropped two straight games and are losing the series vs. the Red Sox 0-2.
At home, the Blue Jays are 18-18 this season compared to 17-20 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 29-19 this season and 6-19 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 9-10-4 this year.
When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.1 runs per game. However, they still have a losing record against the run line overall at 34-39. They have been a better bet on the road at 21-16 compared to 13-23 at home. They are 23-25 against the run line as the favorite and 11-14 as the underdog.
When the Blue Jays are at home, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in 21 of their games this season, and the over/under record in those games is 7-14. Overall, the Blue Jays’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 31-40.
Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Toronto is sending Kevin Gausman to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he comes into the game with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 4.08. Gausman has made 14 starts this year and has one complete game shutout. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gausman’s ERA at home is 7.7 compared to 5.55 on the road.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, the Blue Jays are batting .233, which is 16th in the league, and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective on-base percentage of just .309.
Davis Schneider and Daulton Varsho have been the Blue Jays’ top power threats this season, as Schneider has 9 homers and Varsho has 11. However, both players are batting under .230 for the season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .280 with 7 homers and 30 RBIs. Over his last six games, Schneider has gone 5/20 with two homers. Ernie Clement has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/17 in his last six games.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction
We are in agreement with the oddsmakers that the Blue Jays will pick up a win in this one, and we recommend taking them on the money line at -131. Offensively, we have the Blue Jays picking up nine hits compared to the Red Sox with nine. And in terms of runs, we have the Blue Jays winning this one 6-5.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our models have this one going over, and if you need a long shot home run prediction, the Blue Jays are projected to hit more home runs than the Red Sox.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 19, 2024 Blue Jays, Red Sox