The Boston Red Sox (80-78) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (73-85) on Wednesday, September 25th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on NESN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (-138)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs

• The Blue Jays have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
• The Blue Jays have scored an average of 4.8 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
• The Blue Jays have a head-to-head record of 3-2 against the Red Sox in their last 5 meetings.
• The Blue Jays have a higher home win percentage (49.4%) compared to the Red Sox’s away win percentage (51.2%).
• The Blue Jays have outscored their opponents by 10 runs in their last 5 home games.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays

Boston rallied for three runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays series. The Red Sox scored two runs in the 7th inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 10th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +110 on the money line.

Toronto wasted a good outing from Bowden Francis, as he gave up just three hits and no earned runs in five innings of work for the Blue Jays. Tommy Nance took the loss. Chris Martin got the win out of the bullpen for the Red Sox as Brayan Bello went just four innings, giving up two earned runs.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort for the Blue Jays. Vaughn Grissom had a three-hit game for the Red Sox, scoring the game’s final run. Trevor Story also had a two-hit game for Boston.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are on a four-game winning streak and have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Blue Jays. Their overall series record is 23-20-6, and they have an 80-78 record for the season, trailing the Yankees by 12.5 games in the AL East.

Against the run line, the Red Sox have been more profitable as the underdog, with a 48-34 record, compared to 28-48 as the favorite. Their average run margin in road games is +0.5, and their over/under record for the season is 78-72. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-11-3, and this season, 66.5% of their games have had higher O/U lines.

Richard Fitts Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Richard Fitts will be making his 4th start of the season for the Red Sox, and it will be his first road start of the year. Fitts has been solid in his first 3 outings, but has yet to pick up a win. He has gone 5 innings in each of his starts, and has given up just 1 earned run. He has 7 strikeouts and has yet to allow a home run.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is 9th in the league in runs per game at 4.7. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s best BABIP at .32. Boston’s offense has also been tough to strike out, as they have the 25th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jarren Duran is currently on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .285 for the season. However, he has gone just 9/38 in his last nine games. Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are the Red Sox’s top power threats, with Devers leading the team with 83 RBIs and O’Neill’s 31 homers is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league.

At home, the Blue Jays have a 38-39 record, and they are currently on a five-game losing streak. Overall, they are 73-85 and trail the Yankees by 19.5 games in the AL East. Against the run line, Toronto is 51-30 on the road but only 28-49 at home. They have failed to cover the run line in their last three games.

This season, 79 of Toronto’s 154 games have gone over the total, and their average combined run total is 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have hit the over in 25 of 45 games. Today, the O/U line for their game against the Red Sox is 8 runs, which is lower than usual, as 44.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines.

Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Kevin Gausman has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 13-11 with an ERA of 3.91. So far, he has pitched two complete games and has one shutout to his name. Gausman has a total of 15 quality starts this year. In his most recent outing, he faced the Rangers and picked up the win, going five innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Gausman’s ERA at home is 6.31 compared to 4.29 on the road.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

Currently, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better in terms of home runs, but their collective batting average and slugging percentage are both below the league average. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a bright spot for the Blue Jays, as he is hitting .324 for the season and has gone 11/30 in his last seven games, with two homers.

Guerrero Jr. is also the team’s leader in home runs (30) and RBIs (102), which is 11th in the league. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers, but he is batting just .219 for the season. As a team, the Blue Jays are 20th in home runs and 14th in terms of batting average.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction

With the Blue Jays at -138 on the money line, this is where we see the best value for this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup. We have the Blue Jays taking this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as we have the final score going over the 8 run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kevin Gausman has a better chance of picking up a win than Richard Fitts. However, Fitts is projected to go 16th among starters in innings pitched, while Gausman is down at 17th. Gausman is also projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Fitts with five.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.