The Atlanta Braves (73-61) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (79-55) on Friday, August 30th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on BSSE. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-134)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs

• The Phillies have a strong home record, winning 45 out of 69 home games this season.
• In their last 15 games, the Phillies have won 10 games, showing a recent trend of strong performance.
• The Phillies have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 15 games.
• In their last 5 home games, the Phillies have won 4, demonstrating a strong home-field advantage.
• In head-to-head matchups against the Braves this season, the Phillies have won 4 out of 7 games.

Braves vs Phillies

Atlanta wasted a good outing from Charlie Morton, as he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up just three hits and three earned runs. The Braves starter did finish with seven strikeouts but issued four walks. Heading into the game, he was at +137 on the money line.

Philadelphia’s offense was led by Brandon Marsh and Nick Castellanos, as they were the only two Phillies hitters to have more than one hit. Marsh also homered and scored three times. As a team, the Phillies only had two more hits than the Braves and struck out eight times.

It was a bullpen game for the Phillies, as Cristopher Sanchez went just 5 2/3 innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He did issue a home run and a walk. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen, and Jeff Hoffman got the save.

Atlanta has been a solid run line team on the road, with a 37-33 record and a +0.9 run differential. They have covered the run line in six straight road games and are 15-10 as underdogs. The Braves are 62-47 as favorites this season and have a 36-28 record at home.

Currently, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies in the NL East with a 73-61 record. They are looking to bounce back after losing the first game of the series and are on a five-game winning streak overall. This season, 50 of their 79 games have gone over the total, with an average of 8.2 runs per game.

Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves

Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with a 2.02 ERA. So far, López has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.26 strikeouts per nine innings. López has been tough to score on at home, with an ERA of 1.73 compared to 2.43 on the road. He most recently faced the Nationals, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had three straight outings where he finished with a no-decision and allowed one earned run.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna comes into the game as one of the league’s top power threats, as his 37 homers are 4th best in the league and the most on the Braves roster. He is also 3rd in the MLB in RBIs, with 98. Ozuna has also been hot of late, as he is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Matt Olson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/36 in his last nine games with four homers.

For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. As a team, they are batting .242 (13th) and have the 4th best home run total in the league. Overall, their team slugging percentage of .415 is 11th in the league.

Philadelphia has a 67-40 record this season and is currently six games ahead of the Braves in the NL East. The Phillies have won five straight games as the favorite and have a 23-15-6 series record, including two straight series wins.

On the run line, the Phillies are 65-69 overall, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs this season, and their over/under record is 62-65. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-15-1.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez is starting for the Phillies today and comes into the game with a record of 11-5 and an ERA of 2.82. So far this year, he has made 21 starts, one of which was a complete game shutout. Suárez has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.83 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The left-hander has lost each of his last two starts vs. the Braves and gave up two homers in his most recent outing vs. Atlanta.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are the 6th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies are 3rd in the league in batting average (.258) and have the 7th fewest strikeouts in the league. Philadelphia also comes into the game with a team BABIP of .31, which is the 4th best mark in the league.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Harper’s 26 homers being the 11th best mark in the league and Schwarber’s 28 homers putting him 9th. Alec Bohm doesn’t have as many home runs as Harper and Schwarber, but his 89 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 7th best in the league. Over his last five games, Nick Castellanos has gone 5/20 with three homers.

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

The best bet for today’s Braves vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -134. We have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you want to take the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Reynaldo López has a better chance of picking up a win than Ranger Suárez, but Suárez is actually projected to go one more inning than López. Suárez is also projected to finish with four strikeouts compared to López at six.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.