The Atlanta Braves (74-62) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (80-56) on Sunday, September 1st. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on ESPN. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Braves vs. Phillies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-142)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Phillies have a strong home record, winning 46 out of 71 home games this season.
- In the last 15 games, the Phillies have won 9 games, showing a positive trend with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
- The Phillies have outscored their opponents 63 to 55 in the last 15 games, indicating a solid offensive performance.
- In head-to-head matchups against the Braves this season, the Phillies have won 6 out of 11 games.
- The Phillies have a higher league rank (2nd in NL) compared to the Braves (6th in NL), reflecting their overall stronger performance this season.
Braves vs Phillies
Philadelphia cruised to a 3-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run 1st inning and added their final run in the 7th. As for the Braves, they had their best scoring chance in the 3rd but could not push across a run.
Zack Wheeler was dominant for the Phillies, going seven innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Carlos Estévez closed things out. Max Fried had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss.
Edmundo Sosa was the difference for the Phillies’ offense, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Trea Turner also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Philadelphia.
Atlanta has a 74-62 record and trails the Phillies by six games in the NL East. They have won five straight series and have a 23-15-5 series record this season. Against the run line, they are 38-34 on the road and 16-11 as underdogs.
This season, the Braves have played 58.1% of their games with lines higher than 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs. The over/under record for Atlanta is 51-80, and when the total is 8 runs, the O/U record is 8-13-1.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach is on the mound for the Braves today as he gets set to face the Phillies on the road. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 5-6 with a 3.72 ERA. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his 15 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 10.55 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his most recent outing, Schwellenbach finished with a no-decision against the Twins, going 4 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. He did give up three walks and five hits in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 98 RBIs is 3rd best in the MLB. He also comes into the game with a batting average of .307 and has gone deep 37 times, which is the best mark on the Braves and 4th best in the league. Matt Olson has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 12/33 (.364) in his last eight games, with four homers and 13 RBIs.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, the Braves are 4th in home runs and have the 11th best team batting average in the league.
Philadelphia has a 2-1 series lead over the Braves heading into today’s game, and they have an 80-56 overall record, leading the NL East by six games. The Phillies have a 23-15-6 series record this season and have won two straight series.
This season, the Phillies have gone over the total 63 times and under 66 times, with an average of 8.8 runs per game. Against the run line, they are 33-32 on the road and 33-38 at home, and their overall run line record is 66-70. As favorites, they are 52-57 vs. the run line, and as underdogs, they are 14-13.
Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies
Right-hander Aaron Nola is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves at home. Nola has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with a 3.30 ERA. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of 1.16 and has turned in 17 quality starts. Nola’s most recent outing was a strong one, as he went seven innings, giving up no runs, and picking up the win. In that outing, he gave up just four hits and issued one walk. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Not only do the Phillies have the 3rd best team batting average in the league, but they also come into the game with the 8th most runs per game at 4.8. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 9th in the league in home runs and have the 6th best OPS in the league.
Over the past six games, J.T. Realmuto has three homers and is hitting .333. Nick Castellanos has also homered three times in his last eight games, but he is batting just .233 in that stretch. Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber have been the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Schwarber’s 28 homers leading the team and Bohm’s 13 homers coming in as the 6th best mark on the team.
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
We are predicting a 5-4 win for the Phillies in this one, which would make taking them on the money line at -142 our recommended pick. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Nola finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing with the 16th most among starters today.
For the Braves, our projections have Spencer Schwellenbach finishing with six strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters today. However, his chances of picking up a win are the sixth best, so we would recommend staying away from the Braves and Spencer Schwellenbach.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 1, 2024 Braves, Phillies