The Atlanta Braves (43-32) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (39-37) on Monday, June 24th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSSO. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:45 CT.
Braves vs Cardinals
The Braves’s offense was carried by Jarred Kelenic in their most recent game vs. the Yankees. Kelenic went only 1/3, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in two of the Braves’s three runs. Atlanta’s other run came in the 3rd inning.
Max Fried got the start for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just one run on six hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Atlanta is seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East but have an overall record of 43-32, which is good for 2nd place in the division. The Braves are 12-11 against other teams in the NL East. They will be on the road today, taking on the Cardinals and come into the game with an overall series record of 15-8-2. This includes having won three straight series.
At home, the Braves have gone 24-13 this season and are just one game under .500 at 19-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 40-26 this season and 16-13 when favored on the road. Their four-game win streak as the favorite is part of an 8-2 stretch for them over their last 10 games.
Atlanta has been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 37-38 overall. They are 20-18 on the run line on the road, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.7. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 5-4 as an underdog on the run line.
When the Braves are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs for their games. Their combined run average for the season is 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 28-44. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-15. So far this season, 41.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while 28.0% have had lower lines.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Spencer Schwellenbach is getting the start for the Braves on the road against the Cardinals. He has started 3 games so far this season, and in his last outing, he picked up the win at home against the Tigers. Schwellenbach went 6 innings, allowing just 1 earned run, and he struck out 7. In his first start of the season, he took a loss to the Red Sox, and he finished with 7 strikeouts.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 21 homers are 4th in the league and the best mark on the Braves. He also comes into the game with the league’s 3rd most RBIs at 64. Ozuna has also been a huge asset to the Braves offense with his .314 batting average. Over his last six games, Ozzie Albies has gone 7/25 with two homers and six RBIs, while Sean Murphy has also hit two homers in his last four games, going 6/15.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a good power hitting club so far, as they are 10th in homers and have the league’s 5th best isolated power figure. Overall, the Braves offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts, but they are near the bottom of the league in walks.
The Cardinals’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Giants, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing one run to the Giants in the top of the first, the Cardinals responded with three runs of their own. St. Louis went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Sonny Gray put together a good start for the Cardinals, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Giants batters. Alec Burleson was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with two RBIs.
St. Louis will host the Braves with an overall record of 39-37, and they are five games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals have won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Giants with a win. This season, they are just .500 at 20-15 on the road compared to 19-22 at home.
As the home underdog, the Cardinals have gone 6-4 this season, and they have won five straight at home as the underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 13-11-1 this year, and they have won seven of their last ten games.
The Cardinals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 39-37 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 21-14 against the run line. Their average run margin is -0.4 runs per game, and they have been a good bet as the underdog, going 24-15 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.4 runs per game.
St. Louis has been an over machine this season, with a 33-40 O/U record, and they have gone over in 15 of 24 games when the line is set at 8.5 runs. The Cardinals have hit the over in three straight games, and their games have averaged exactly 8.5 runs per game this season.
Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals
St. Louis is sending right-hander Lance Lynn to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.08. Lynn has yet to take a loss at home, coming in with a record of 1-0 and an ERA of 5.08. His last outing came vs. the Marlins, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Lynn has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Cardinals are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 14th in the MLB, and their team on-base percentage of .306 is also 14th in the league.
Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson have been two of the Cardinals top hitters this season, with Donovan leading the team with 38 RBIs and Burleson’s 12 homers being the 2nd most in the league. Both players have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Donovan going 13/37 in his last 9 games and Burleson going 12/34 with three homers in that stretch. Both players also have a current hitting streak of seven games.
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction
Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Braves, and with them on the money line at -123, we see this as a great value pick. Offensively, we have the Braves finishing with 8 hits, which is the 12th most in the league today.
For the Cardinals, we actually have them finishing with fewer hits than the Braves, and they are projected to finish with just four runs, which is the fifth lowest in the league today. If you’re looking for a player prop, Lance Lynn is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and for the Braves, their starter is predicted to finish with four.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 28, 2024 Braves, Cardinals