The Atlanta Braves (43-33) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (40-37) on Tuesday, June 25th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 6:45 CT.
Braves vs Cardinals
St. Louis picked up a 4-3 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a big 3rd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Braves, they scored one run in the 5th and added two more in the 9th.
Lance Lynn started for the Cardinals and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Braves, Spencer Schwellenbach got the start and took the loss, going five innings and giving up four earned runs.
Austin Riley hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Brendan Donovan had a three-hit game for the Cardinals.
Atlanta is on the road today vs. the Cardinals, and they are looking to make up some ground in the NL East, where they trail the Phillies by eight games. The Braves are 43-33 overall and have gone 12-11 in divisional games this year. So far, they have dropped the first game of this series vs. the Cardinals.
At home, the Braves have gone 24-13 this year compared to 19-20 on the road. As the favorite, Atlanta is 40-27 and 3-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 15-8-2 and have won three straight series.
When the Braves win, they win by an average of 3.7 runs per game. In their losses, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of +0.6 runs per game, which is also their run line record on the season at 37-39. They are 20-19 against the run line on the road and 17-20 at home.
The Braves are on the road today against the Cardinals, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Atlanta’s games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-45. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-15. Overall, 42.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs. The under has hit in their last two games.
Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves
Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 5-2. López has been pitching well, as his ERA is currently 1.57, and he has a WHIP of 1.08. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, López went five innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. He has won each of his last three starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.2 strikeouts compared to 2.78 walks.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been a big part of the Braves’ offense this season, as he is hitting .314 and is 3rd in the league with 64 RBIs. Ozuna also has 21 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 4th in the league. He comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. First baseman Matt Olson has 12 homers this season and is batting .246.
Over the Braves’ last eight games, Austin Riley has been swinging a hot bat, going 11/28 with three homers. He has also scored seven runs over that stretch. As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, and they are 10th in the league in home runs.
St. Louis is hosting the Braves today with an overall record of 40-37, which has them five games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals have won four straight games, and they are 9-9 in divisional matchups this year. So far, they have been good at home, going 21-15 compared to 19-22 on the road.
As the home underdog, the Cardinals have gone 7-4 this year, and they have an overall record of 20-20 as the underdog. St. Louis has won three straight games as the underdog overall, and they are 20-17 when favored this year. Looking at their series record, the Cardinals are 13-11-1 this year and have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games overall.
St. Louis has been a strong bet against the run line at home this season, going 22-14. They have a run line record of 40-37 overall, but have been even better as the underdog, going 25-15. The Cardinals have won eight straight on the run line at home and have an average run line margin of +2.4 in their wins.
When the St. Louis Cardinals are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is their combined run average for the season. Their over/under record is 33-41, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 15-9. Overall, 22.1% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs, with 46.8% of their games having lower lines.
Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Cubs, he went seven innings, picking up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Gibson has made 14 starts, and his record is 5-2. The right-hander’s ERA for the season is 3.44, along with a WHIP of 1.20. Opposing batters are hitting .225 off Gibson this year. Out of his 14 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts. Per nine innings, Gibson is averaging 7.85 strikeouts and 3.33 walks.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
St. Louis has been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Cardinals have been a team that has struck out a lot this season, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of drawing walks.
Both Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson have been swinging the bat well for the Cardinals of late, with Donovan going 15/34 in his last eight games, and Burleson has gone 12/29 with three homers in that stretch. For the season, Burleson is batting .289 with 12 homers, and Donovan is hitting .269 with eight homers.
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction
With the money line sitting at +117, we really like the value you can get by taking the Cardinals to pick up a win at home. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Cardinals, giving you some room to take the Cardinals on the run line as well if you’d like.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Gibson is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is good for the fourth worst among today’s starters. As for Reynaldo López, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is right in the middle of the pack.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 28, 2024 Braves, Cardinals