The Atlanta Braves (43-33) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (40-37) on Wednesday, June 26th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 12:45 CT.
Braves vs Cardinals
Thanks to a four-run 3rd inning for the Cardinals’ offense, they cruised to a 4-3 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were at +107 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Spencer Schwellenbach for the Braves, and he went just five innings while giving up four runs and took the loss. Lance Lynn put together a good outing for the Cardinals, getting the win after going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run.
St. Louis got a huge performance from Brendan Donovan, as he went 3/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Both Alec Burleson and Michael Siani each had two hits and an RBI for the Cardinals’ offense.
With a record of 43-33, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 7.5 games. The Braves lead the Mets by 5.5 games for the second spot in the division. So far, they are 12-11 in divisional matchups. The Braves have been good at home this year, going 24-13, but they are just one game above .500 at 19-20 on the road.
As the favorite, the Braves have gone 40-27 this year, and they are 3-6 as the underdog. Atlanta has an overall series record of 15-8-2 and have won three straight series. Currently, they are down 0-1 in their series vs. the Cardinals. Looking at their recent games, the Braves are 7-3 over their last 10.
When the Braves win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game. In their losses, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 37-39, and they are 20-19 against the run line on the road.
The Braves are on the road in St. Louis tonight, where the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and they have an over/under record of 28-45. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 4-3. Overall, 72.4% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, and they have hit the under in their last two games.
Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves
Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 5-2. López’s ERA is an impressive 1.57, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run, going five innings of work vs. the Tigers. He has won each of his last three starts. Opponents are batting .208 off López this season, and his WHIP is 1.08. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.2 strikeouts and 2.78 walks.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna comes into the game as the Braves’ top hitter, with a batting average of .314 to go along with 21 home runs and 64 RBIs. Ozuna is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 12 homers this season.
Over the team’s last six games, Austin Riley has gone 7/21 with two home runs, and Sean Murphy has also gone deep twice in his last four games while batting .400. As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the MLB.
St. Louis is currently 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 5.5 games. The Cardinals are 40-37 overall and have won four straight games, and they have gone 9-9 in divisional matchups this year. So far, they have been good at home, going 21-15 compared to 19-22 on the road.
The Cardinals have won six straight games at home, and they are 7-4 as the home underdog this year. St. Louis has been good as the underdog overall, putting together a mark of 20-20. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 20-17 this year, and they have won three straight games as the underdog.
When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs per game. Overall, the Cardinals are 40-37 against the run line this season, including an impressive 22-14 mark at home. They’ve covered the run line in eight straight games at home and are 25-15 against the run line as an underdog this season.
When the St. Louis Cardinals are at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-41 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Cardinals’ record is 5-9-1. In 53.2% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at more than 8 runs.
Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today and is coming off a great outing vs. the Cubs. In that June 14th start, he went seven innings, didn’t give up a run, and got the win. Looking back further, he has given up three earned runs in three straight starts. Gibson’s ERA for the season is 3.44, along with a record of 5-2. Out of his 14 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.85 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 3.33 walks per nine innings.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
Over the past eight games, both Alec Burleson and Brendan Donovan have been swinging the bat well for the Cardinals, with Burleson going 12/29 and Donovan going 15/34. During this stretch, both players have three homers, with Burleson driving in nine runs and Donovan driving in 10. Overall, Burleson is batting .289 for the season, while Donovan is at .269.
St. Louis’ offense is 25th in the league in runs scored this season, averaging 4 runs per game. Their team batting average of .241 is 14th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in home runs. As a team, the Cardinals are batting just .241 this season and have just the 16th best on-base percentage in the league.
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction
With the Cardinals being the underdogs at +114, that’s the route we recommend going for today’s Braves vs. Cardinals matchup. Our predicted final score is 5.1 to 5 in favor of the Cardinals, making their money line a good value.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Gibson is predicted to finish with five strikeouts compared to Reynaldo López at six. However, we have Gibson finishing with a better chance to pick up a win than López.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 26, 2024 Braves, Cardinals