Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 8/30/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (77-56) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (64-70) on Friday, August 30th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 11:40 CT.

Brewers vs. Reds Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Reds (+109)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs
  • The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games.
  • The Reds have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
  • The Reds have a recent head-to-head win against the Brewers, scoring 4 runs on August 11th.
  • The Reds have outscored their opponents by a total of 14 runs in their last 3 home wins.
  • The Reds have a higher home win percentage (32-36) compared to the Brewers’ away win percentage (37-31).

Brewers vs Reds

milwaukee brewers nba

The Brewers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Giants, the Brewers closed out the series with a 6-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -127 on the money line. It was a big 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Giants could only score two runs. Milwaukee’s offense added another two runs in the 4th and closed things out with another two runs in the 7th.

Aaron Civale put together a good start for the Brewers, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out seven Giants batters. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Garrett Mitchell, who went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers have won two straight games and lead the NL Central with a 77-56 record, putting them 9.5 games ahead of the Cubs. Milwaukee has a 26-16 record against divisional opponents this season.

Against the run line, the Brewers are 70-63 overall and 39-19 as underdogs. Milwaukee’s games have averaged 8.8 runs this season, and their over/under record is 70-55. The O/U line for tonight’s game is set at 9.5 runs, which is the line for just 3.0% of their games this season.

Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers

Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces off against the Reds on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 12-4 with a 3.61 ERA. Rea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 25 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Rea went 6 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, and picking up the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 7-3 record and 4.04 ERA compared to 5-1 with a 3.47 ERA on the road.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

William Contreras comes into the game as the Brewers’ 3rd leading hitter, with a batting average of .285. He also has 18 home runs, which is 3rd on the team. Willy Adames has been a key power bat for the Brewers, as his 24 homers lead the team and is 13th in the MLB. Adames is also on a six-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last nine games.

As a team, the Brewers are 5th in batting average and have been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season. Overall, they are 9th in runs per game at 4.8 runs per contest. Milwaukee is also one of the best teams in the league at drawing walks and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.

The Reds Are Coming Off A Win

The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 10-9 win. After allowing two runs to the Athletics in the top of the first, the Reds responded with a big 6-run inning. Cincinnati went on to add another 3 runs in the 3rd inning.

Julian Aguiar got the start for the Reds and took the win. He only lasted four innings, giving up six earned runs on 10 hits. Tyler Stephenson went 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

For the season, the Reds have an over/under record of 63-65 and their games have averaged 8.8 runs. When the total is set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit 20 times and the under 10 times. Cincinnati’s run line record is 41-25 on the road and 29-39 at home. As underdogs, they are 43-26 vs. the run line.

Cincinnati is 13.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, heading into the series opener with a 64-70 record. The Reds have lost two straight series and are 19-20 in divisional games this year. At home, they have a 32-36 record, while on the road, they are 32-34.

Nick Martinez Gets The Start For The Reds

Right-hander Nick Martinez gets the start for the Reds today as he faces off against the Brewers at home. Martinez has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.62 ERA. So far, he has turned in just two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up one earned run in three innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Martinez has a WHIP of 1.11 and is averaging 7.16 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .244 off Martinez this year.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds’ top power threats this season, as De La Cruz leads the team with 22 homers and Steer is right behind him with 19. De La Cruz is also 2nd on the team with 60 RBIs, while Steer’s 83 RBIs are the best mark on the team. De La Cruz has a batting average of .262, and Steer is batting just .235.

Tyler Stephenson has been on fire for the Reds, going 11/22 in his last six games with two homers and five RBIs. Stephenson is also on a 13-game hitting streak. Will Benson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 4/11 with two homers in his last five games.

Brewers vs Reds Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Reds game is to take the Reds on the money line at +109. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the payout for a Reds win sitting at +109, there is a lot of value in taking them to win outright.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Nick Martinez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Colin Rea with four. Martinez is also projected to give up fewer runs than Rea, and we have him finishing with the sixth-most strikeouts among today’s starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.