The Milwaukee Brewers (79-56) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (64-72) on Saturday, August 31st. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on FOX. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.
Brewers vs. Reds Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+108)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games.
- The Reds have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Reds have a head-to-head win against the Brewers in their last away game against them on August 11th, scoring 4 runs.
- The Reds have scored an average of 5.8 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Reds have a higher home win percentage (32-38) compared to the Brewers’ away win percentage (39-31).
Brewers vs Reds
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Reds by a score of 14-0. The Brewers offense only had one more hit than the Reds and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -102 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between DL Hall for the Brewers and Rhett Lowder for the Reds. Hall only went seven innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with five strikeouts. On the other side, Lowder was tagged for six runs in just four innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two, three, and four hitters did the most damage, as they combined for nine hits, three homers, and eight RBIs. Rhys Hoskins and William Contreras each went deep for the Brewers’ offense.
Currently on a four-game winning streak, the Milwaukee Brewers are leading the NL Central with a 10-game lead over the Cubs. Their overall series record is 23-15-4, and they have won two straight series. As favorites, they hold a 45-31 record and are 14-15 on the road when favored. The Brewers’ average run differential for the season is +1.0 runs per game.
This season, the over/under record in Brewers games is 71-55, with an average of 8.8 runs per game. Today’s O/U line of 9 runs is higher than usual, as only 8.9% of their games have had totals of 9 runs or more.
Frankie Montas Gets The Start For The Brewers
Frankie Montas is looking to bounce back from a rough outing, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Athletics on August 25th, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Montas has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has a record of 6-9 this season and an ERA of 4.64. Out of his 24 starts, Montas has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.93 strikeouts per nine innings. Montas’ ERA on the road is 6.26, compared to 5.38 at home.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Contreras is 3rd on the team with 20 homers, and Adames is 1st on the team and 8th in the league with 26 home runs. Adames has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/29 in his last seven games with four homers and seven RBIs. Adames is also on an eight-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the league’s 5th best team batting average.
When playing as the favorite, the Reds are 33-33 straight up, but they have a losing record of 31-39 as underdogs. Their overall run line record is 71-65, with a 41-25 mark on the road and 30-40 at home. Cincinnati’s series record this season is 16-23-3, with two straight series losses.
Currently, the Reds are 15.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, with an overall record of 64-72. They are down 0-2 in their current series vs. Milwaukee, having lost two straight games. This season, the average total in their games is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 64-65.
Fernando Cruz Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is giving the ball to right-hander Fernando Cruz today vs. the Brewers. He has made 62 appearances this season and just one start. Cruz’s record for the season is 3-8, and he has an ERA of 5.17. This year, opponents are batting .208 off Cruz, and his WHIP is 1.36. In his lone start, Cruz went three innings and gave up one earned run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Cruz has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four appearances. Per nine innings, he is averaging 13.74 strikeouts and 4.69 walks.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ most consistent hitters this season, batting .266 with a team-leading 22 home runs and 61 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 12/39 in his last nine games. Tyler Stephenson has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/26 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Their team batting average of .232 is 19th in the MLB, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage. Overall, the Reds are 11th in home runs this season.
Brewers vs Reds Prediction
Our pick for today’s Brewers vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at +108. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout at +108, there is a good amount of value on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Frankie Montas finishing with six strikeouts, which is 11th among starters today. As for the Reds starter, Fernando Cruz, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 18th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 31, 2024 Brewers, Reds