The Milwaukee Brewers (56-42) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (54-43) on Sunday, July 21st. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on None. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 12:05 CT.
Brewers vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Brewers (+134)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Brewers have scored 8 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games.
- The Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 road games.
- The Brewers have a higher league rank (3rd) compared to the Twins (4th).
- The Brewers have a better away record (27-25) compared to the Twins’ home record (27-19).
- The Brewers have a positive run differential in their last 15 games, outscoring opponents 80 to 73.
Brewers vs Twins
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Twins by a score of 8-4. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +103 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Pablo Lopez for the Twins. Peralta only went six innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with eight strikeouts. On the other side, Lopez was tagged for one run in seven innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two-through-four hitters, Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, and Willy Adames, combined for seven of the team’s eight RBIs. Chourio and Brice Turang each scored three times for the Brewers’ offense.
Milwaukee has a 56-42 record and leads the NL Central by five games over the Cardinals. They have won two straight games and took the first game of the series vs. the Twins, bringing their overall series record to 17-11-3.
On the run line, the Brewers are 51-47 overall and have covered the run line in two straight games. Their games have gone over the total in 53 of 94 games this season, including three straight overs. The average total in their games is 8.8 runs, with the O/U line set at 8 runs today.
Aaron Civale Gets The Start For The Brewers
Milwaukee is sending Aaron Civale to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he comes in with a record of 2-7 and an ERA of 4.94. So far, he has made 19 starts and four of them have been quality starts. Civale’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.38. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up one earned run in 6 1/3 innings of work vs. the Pirates. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander has allowed a total of 19 home runs this season.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Brewers are batting .255 as a team, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Milwaukee has been one of the best teams in terms of getting on base, as they have an OBP of .332, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.
Willy Adames has been swinging the bat well for the Brewers, going 8/20 in his last five games with a home run and five RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, Adames is hitting .249 with a team-high 15 homers and 67 RBIs. William Contreras is 3/20 in his last five games, but for the season, he is batting .287 with 11 homers and 56 RBIs.
Minnesota’s overall series record this season is 19-10-2, and they are 44-25 in games where they have been favored. The Twins are 27-19 at home and 27-24 on the road, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, resulting in a 48-47 over/under record. In games with an 8-run total, their O/U record is 7-14-2.
The Twins are currently five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, looking to bounce back from a two-game losing streak. Their run line record is 46-51, with a 31-38 mark as favorites. Minnesota’s straight-up record is 54-43, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
Joe Ryan Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Joe Ryan gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Brewers at home. Ryan has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.53 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Ryan has a WHIP of 1.00 and has issued just 1.49 walks per nine innings. Ryan’s ERA at home is 3.94, compared to 3.51 on the road. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up more than one earned run.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Correa has been one of the Twins’ top hitters this season, batting .308 with 13 home runs and a team-high 47 RBIs. He is also currently on a four-game hitting streak. Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have also been solid power threats, as they are tied for the team lead with 14 homers. However, Santana has struggled of late, going just 4/20 in his last six games.
Overall, the Twins are 6th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game, and they have been a good home run hitting team this season. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the league, and they have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league.
Brewers vs Twins Prediction
With the Brewers at +134 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick for today’s Brewers vs. Twins matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Brewers, giving us a good amount of value on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Civale finishing with five strikeouts, and for the Twins, Joe Ryan is projected to finish with six. However, we have Ryan finishing with a higher ERA than Civale and have him with a worse chance of picking up a win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:July 21, 2024 Brewers, Twins