Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6/23/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (44-33) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (41-40) on Sunday, June 23rd. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on BSWI. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 3:10  CT.

Brewers vs Padres

milwaukee brewers nba

San Diego picked up a 6-4 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring four runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Brewers got on the board with four runs in the 4th and added their final two runs in the 7th.

Randy Vásquez only went five innings for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued three walks. As for the Brewers, Carlos Rodriguez got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work.

At the plate, the Padres were led by Jackson Merrill, who went 3/3 with a home run. Ha-Seong Kim also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for San Diego’s offense.

Milwaukee is on the road today vs. the Padres, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes dropping the first three games of this series. Currently, the Brewers lead the NL Central by five games over the Cardinals. So far, they have been good vs. other teams in the NL Central, going 18-9.

At 44-33 overall, the Brewers have gone 22-12 at home compared to 22-21 on the road. As the underdog, Milwaukee has lost three straight on the road, and they are 14-13 as the road underdog this year. The Brewers have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 25-15. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 15-7-2 and have won four straight series.

On the road, the Brewers have been a profitable run line team, going 24-19. Their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 39-38 overall. They are 24-13 vs. the run line as the underdog, but just 15-25 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it’s -2.8 in losses.

When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8 runs per game. Overall, their over/under record is 41-33, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 20-14. This season, 15.6% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, and their over streak is at 3 games.

Tobias Myers Gets The Start For The Brewers

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Padres. Myers has made nine starts this year and has a record of 4-2. His ERA for the season is 3.25, along with a WHIP of 1.13. Myers has been pitching well recently, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three outings. In his most recent start, he went 6 1/3 innings vs. the Angels, giving up no runs on six hits. Myers has made six road starts and has a record of 3-2 with a 2.65 ERA on the road.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have a good team batting average of .253. One area they have struggled is with strikeouts, as they are 24th in the league in this category.

Willy Adames has been a key power bat for the Brewers this season, as his 13 homers lead the team and is 12th in the league. He is also 7th in the league with 54 RBIs. Catcher William Contreras has also been a key run producer for the Brewers, as his 49 RBIs is 2nd on the team and 11th in the league. Over his last eight games, Brice Turang has gone 11/32 with two homers and seven RBIs.

San Diego is hosting the Brewers today with an overall record of 41-40, and they have won four straight games. In the NL West, they are eight games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they are 14-15 in divisional games.

San Diego has won six straight games at home, and they are 18-15 as the home favorite this year. The Padres have been good as the favorite overall, putting up a mark of 26-23. As for their record as the underdog, they are 15-17 this season. The Padres’ overall series record is 13-10-3, and they dropped two straight series before winning the series vs. the Diamondbacks. Currently, they lead the series vs. the Brewers 3-0.

San Diego has been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 27-12. The Padres have a run line record of 15-27 at home and have a run line record of 42-39 overall. They have a run line win streak of two games and are 22-10 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3.

The San Diego Padres are at home today, facing the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below the combined run average of 8.8 runs per game for these teams. The Padres have a 41-39 over/under record on the season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone over 10 times and under 11 times. Overall, just 16.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run line.

Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 3.49. He has made 15 starts this year and has pitched well, with six quality starts and a WHIP of 1.27. In his last outing, King finished with a no-decision, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had put together two straight scoreless outings. King’s ERA at home is 4.31 compared to 3.73 on the road.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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Over the Padres’ last 10 games, Jackson Merrill has been on fire, going 13/34 with seven home runs and 11 RBIs. This has helped him put together a four-game hitting streak. As a team, the Padres are the top hitting team in the league, with a batting average of .261. They are also 8th in home runs and have the best slugging percentage in the league.

San Diego’s offense has been led by Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. so far this season. Cronenworth is 11th in the league in RBIs and has gone deep 12 times, which is 2nd on the team. Tatis Jr. is 11th in the league in homers and has a batting average of .279.

Brewers vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for this Brewers vs. Padres matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +115. We have the Brewers winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tobias Myers finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Michael King, who we have finishing with five. However, King is projected to go deeper into the game, and we have him finishing with seven hits allowed compared to Myers with five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.