Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8/3/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (62-47) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (49-61) on Saturday, August 3rd. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.

Brewers vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+113)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
  • The Nationals have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • The Nationals have a recent head-to-head win against the Brewers, scoring 6 runs on July 13th.
  • The Nationals have a higher home win percentage (23-28) compared to the Brewers’ away win percentage (31-26).
  • The Nationals have shown the ability to bounce back after losses, winning 3 games following a loss in their last 15 games.

Brewers vs Nationals

milwaukee brewers nba

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Nationals by a score of 8-3. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Nationals and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -111 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Frankie Montas for the Brewers and Jake Irvin for the Nationals. Montas only went five innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Irvin was tagged for four homers and four runs in just 5 2/3 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as they combined for seven of the team’s eight RBIs. Blake Perkins, Sal Frelick, Willy Adames, and Garrett Mitchell each had two RBIs.

Milwaukee has a 62-47 overall record and is 23-13 in divisional games this season. They have won three straight games on the road and have a 31-26 road record. Against the run line on the road, they are 32-25 and have an average run differential of +0.8 runs per game.

As underdogs, the Brewers have a 26-22 record, and they are 36-25 when favored. Their over/under record is 59-45, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and their O/U record in games with a 9-run line is 5-5-2.

Aaron Civale Gets The Start For The Brewers

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Aaron Civale to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 2-7 with an ERA of 4.92. So far, Civale has made four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Marlins, he gave up seven hits and three walks. Civale has a WHIP of 1.39 this season. Looking back at his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in all three.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

Currently, the Brewers are 10th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .255, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB. Milwaukee has also been one of the best teams in terms of getting on base, with a team on-base percentage of .331.

Rhys Hoskins and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Hoskins has 18 homers, and Adames has 17. Adames’ 71 RBIs are the most on the team and the 10th most in the league. William Contreras has been a solid all-around hitter for the Brewers, as he is batting .281 with 12 homers.

Washington has struggled recently, losing five straight games and going 2-8 in their last 10. They are 4th in the NL East, 16.5 games behind the Phillies. The Nationals’ series record this season is 14-19-2.

Against the run line, the Nationals have a 62-48 record, with a 53-38 mark as underdogs. Their average run margin is -0.5, and the over has hit in their last four games. The O/U record in games with a 9-run total is 10-9-2.

DJ Herz Gets The Start For The Nationals

Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he will be looking to rebound from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start vs. the Cardinals, Herz went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and he issued three walks. Looking back over his last three outings, Herz has finished with a no-decision in two of them and has allowed at least two earned runs in each outing. So far this season, he has made one quality start and is 1-4 with a 4.79 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .253 off Herz this season.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

washington nationals

Washington’s offense is batting just .241 for the season, which is 13th in the league. They are also 19th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. The Nationals have been even worse in terms of power, as they are 25th in the league in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .370 (21st).

CJ Abrams has been one of the Nationals’ most consistent hitters this season, batting .256 with a team-high 16 homers and 54 RBIs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 6/36 in his last nine games. Luis Garcia Jr. is also near the top of the Nationals’ home run and RBI leaderboards, batting .282 for the season. He has gone deep 11 times and has 51 RBIs.

Brewers vs Nationals Prediction

Our prediction for this Brewers vs. Nationals matchup is to take the Nationals on the money line, with the payout sitting at +113. We have the Nationals winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have DJ Herz finishing with seven strikeouts, which would have him as the third-best starter in terms of Ks. As for Aaron Civale, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which has him in the middle of the pack.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.