The Milwaukee Brewers (62-48) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (50-61) on Sunday, August 4th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on BSWI. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Brewers vs. Nationals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+116)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Nationals have scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- In their last 15 games, the Nationals have a winning record of 6-2 at home.
- The Nationals have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Brewers.
- In their last 15 games, the Nationals have outscored their opponents by an average of 5.2 to 4.8 runs per game.
- The Nationals have a higher home win percentage (46%) compared to the Brewers’ away win percentage (53%).
Brewers vs Nationals
It was all Washington in the last game of this series, as the Nationals took down the Brewers by a score of 6-4. The Nationals offense only had two more hits than the Brewers and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were at +101 on the money line.
Milwaukee got on the board first with one run in the 5th inning, but the Nationals responded with four runs in the bottom half of the 5th and added two more in the 7th. As for the Brewers, they scored their final run in the 8th.
DJ Herz only went five innings for the Nationals but didn’t give up a run and finished with six strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Kyle Finnegan closed things out. Aaron Civale had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss.
On the run line, the Brewers have been more profitable as underdogs, with a 32-16 record, compared to 25-37 as favorites. Their overall run line record is 57-53, and their average run margin for the season is +0.7 runs per game.
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 62-48 overall and lead the NL Central by 5.5 games over the Cardinals. They have a 23-13 record against divisional opponents and have won two straight series on the road. The over/under record for games with a total of 9 runs is 5-5-2, and their overall over/under record is 60-45.
Tobias Myers Gets The Start For The Brewers
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Nationals. Myers has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-4 with an ERA of 3.10. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.08 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Myers finished with a no-decision, going four innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Myers’ ERA on the road is 3.01 compared to 4.01 at home.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers have been getting good production from their offense, as they are 10th in the league at 4.7 runs per game. For the most part, they have been a good home and road team, averaging 4.9 runs per game at home and 4.6 on the road. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team (6th) and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league. They have also been tough to strike out this season.
Over the team’s last eight games, Jackson Chourio has been swinging a hot bat, going 12/34 with two homers and six RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been on a tear, going 9/32 with four homers in his last nine games. For the season, Hoskins is batting just .220, but his 19 homers are the best mark on the team and 14th in the league.
Washington is currently 15.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, putting them in 4th place. They are also seven games back of the Mets for 3rd place. The Nationals have an overall series record of 14-19-2 and are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
When the Nationals are the underdog, they have a 54-38 run line record, but as the favorite, they are just 9-10. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, resulting in a 56-51 over/under record. The over has hit in their last 5 games.
Mitchell Parker Gets The Start For The Nationals
Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Brewers at home. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.31. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, Parker finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts. Parker has a 9.64 ERA on the road compared to 4.82 at home.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This is also the worst home run hitting team in the league, but they are batting a collective .242, which is 13th in the league. Washington’s team OPS of .681 is 22nd in the league. Over the past seven games, CJ Abrams has really struggled, going just 5/30. However, he does lead the team with 16 homers and 54 RBIs.
Luis Garcia Jr. comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 10/24 in his last six games. This has moved his season average to .287, and he is 2nd on the team with 52 RBIs. Alex Call has been hot of late, going 7/12 in his last five games.
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction
The best way to play the Brewers vs. Nationals matchup is to take the Nationals on the money line at +116. With the money line payout, you could also look to take the Nationals on the run line, as we have them winning by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Mitchell Parker is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the same as Tobias Myers. However, we have Myers finishing with a lower ERA than Parker. Offensively, the Brewers are projected to out-hit the Nationals, but we have the Nationals hitting more home runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 4, 2024 Brewers, Nationals