The St. Louis Cardinals (51-47) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (54-43) on Sunday, July 21st. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSE. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Cardinals vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Braves (-148)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- In their last 15 games, the Braves have scored 5 or more runs in 10 games, showcasing a strong offensive performance.
- The Braves have a home record of 30-18, indicating a strong performance at home.
- In the last 15 games, the Braves have won 8 games, showing a positive trend in recent performance.
- Against the Cardinals in their last series, the Braves won 2 out of 3 games, demonstrating a favorable head-to-head record.
- The Braves have a higher league rank (4th) compared to the Cardinals (5th), indicating a stronger overall season performance.
Cardinals vs Braves
Atlanta wasted a good outing from Bryce Elder, as he went five innings and gave up just two earned runs as the Braves starter vs. the Cardinals. After scoring one run in the first inning, the Cardinals were held in check until they broke out for four run in the top of the 6th, picking up a 9-5 road win over the Braves.
Sonny Gray started for the Cardinals, giving up five earned runs across seven innings. He finished with 10 strikeouts but did not pick up a win in the game. Kyle Leahy got the win out of the bullpen.
Marcell Ozuna hit two homers for the Braves and went 2/4 with four RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Eddie Rosario also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for Atlanta.
St. Louis has a 51-47 record overall, and they are looking to take the series lead against the Braves today. The Cardinals have a 26-22 record at home and are .500 on the road at 25-25. As underdogs, they are 30-17 ATS this season.
When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Cardinals have a 22-12 record in those games. Their average run total per game this season is 8.7, and their overall over/under record is 47-48.
Miles Mikolas Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Right-hander Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with an ERA of 5.13. Looking at his overall numbers, Mikolas has a WHIP of 1.22 and has turned in 11 quality starts. In his 20 appearances, Mikolas has a batting average allowed of .269. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed an earned run in two straight outings. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 6-4 and 4.28 ERA.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
St. Louis Cardinals right fielder Alec Burleson has been on a tear of late, going 16/40 in his last 10 games with four homers and 15 RBIs. Burleson’s 17 home runs this season is 2nd on the team and 10th in the league. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .247, which is 8th in the MLB, and are averaging 4.2 runs per game.
Overall, the Cardinals offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 21st in home runs and have the 18th ranked on-base percentage in the league. St. Louis does have three players with at least 48 RBIs and have a collective team batting average of .247.
Atlanta has been a solid favorite this season, posting a 50-34 record in that role. Overall, they are 54-43 and 7.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves are 30-18 at home and will host the Cardinals today.
When the O/U line is 8.5 runs, the over/under record for Braves games is 9-17. This season, 36 of their games have had the total set at 8.5, making up 37.1% of their matchups. Atlanta’s run line record is 45-52, and their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that July 12th start vs. the Padres, he went 7 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, Schwellenbach has been a bit up and down. He has made four straight starts, going 2-2 with a 3.90 ERA at home. Overall, he is 3-4 with a 4.43 ERA and WHIP of 1.16. Opposing batters are hitting .241 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has made eight appearances and four have been quality starts.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 14/36 in his last nine games with five homers and seven RBIs. Ozuna is currently on an eight-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .305 with 28 homers and 79 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league. Austin Riley and Matt Olson are also both in the top 15 in the league in homers, with 13 apiece.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is also the 17th ranked scoring offense in terms of batting average. As a team, they are 8th in slugging percentage and have the 9th most homers in the league.
Cardinals vs Braves Prediction
Our prediction for this Cardinals vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves on the money line at -148. We have the Braves winning this one by a final score of 5-4. At -148, the payout isn’t huge, but we still see this as a good payout for a team that we have winning.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Miles Mikolas finishing with just four strikeouts and giving up the most earned runs of any starter on today’s slate. As for Spencer Schwellenbach, we have him finishing with five strikeouts and ranking 12th among starters in terms of his chances to pick up a win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 21, 2024 Braves, Cardinals