The St. Louis Cardinals (36-35) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (23-49) on Tuesday, June 18th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 5:10 CT.
Cardinals vs Marlins
It took 12 innings for the Cardinals to pick up a 7-6 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. St. Louis had a three-run 8th inning to tie the game at 6-6, and then scored the game’s winning run in the top of the 12th. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were favored at -154 on the money line.
Sonny Gray got the start for the Cardinals, going just 7 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. Andrew Kittredge got the win out of the bullpen. A.J. Puk took the loss for the Marlins out of the bullpen.
At the plate, Masyn Winn and Michael Siani each homered for the Cardinals, while Bryan De La Cruz went deep for Miami. Jazz Chisholm Jr. had a two-hit game and scored three times for the Marlins.
St. Louis is 36-35 overall and is 5.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals are on a two-game winning streak, and they have gone 9-9 against other teams in the NL Central this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 12-10-1, and they have won two straight series.
At home, the Cardinals are 17-15 this year and 19-20 on the road. St. Louis has won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 18-15 overall when favored. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 18-20 this year, and they have won two straight on the road.
Through the first half of the season, the Cardinals have been a tough team to predict against the run line. They are 36-35 overall, but 18-21 on the run line on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 23-15 on the run line in those games. Their average run margin is -0.5 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 0.7 runs per game on the road.
St. Louis is on the road against Miami today, and the O/U line is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 29-39. In games where the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-8-1. Overall, 53.5% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs.
Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Right-hander Lance Lynn gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.75. Lynn’s WHIP for the season is 1.39. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Lynn has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Looking back further, he has made three straight starts, giving up at least three earned runs and not getting the win.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. At home, they have been slightly better, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 15th in the league, and they have the 16th home run total in the MLB. St. Louis has been led in home runs this season by Nolan Gorman, who is 8th in the league and has 33 RBIs.
Over his last six games, Pedro Pagés has gone just 3/18 for the Cardinals, but he does have two homers in that stretch. Heading into the game, Brandon Crawford, Iván Herrera, and Lars Nootbaar are all on four-game hitting streaks. Alec Burleson and Nolan Arenado are 2nd and 3rd on the team in homers, respectively, and are batting .271 and .256 for the season.
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-49, which has them 25 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Marlins have dropped six straight games, and this losing streak includes dropping the first game of this series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they are just 5-17 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Marlins are 12-26 while going 11-23 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the underdog, the Marlins are 20-37 and just 3-12 when favored. Miami has an overall series record of 5-17-1 and have lost six straight series.
The Marlins are 29-43 against the run line this season, and they have been a better bet on the road (17-17) than at home (12-26). Miami has a run differential of -1.6 runs per game this season, and they have been outscored by an average of 1.9 runs per game at home. The Marlins have been a run line underdog in 57 of their 71 games this season, and they have covered the run line in 29 of those contests.
When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs. This season, their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 38-33. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 5-6-1. Overall, 52.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Roddery Muñoz Gets The Start For The Marlins
Roddery Muñoz is getting the start for the Marlins at home vs. the Cardinals. He has made 3 starts this season, and in his last outing, he went 6 innings and struck out 5 while giving up just 1 hit. Muñoz has a win and a no-decision in his other 2 starts.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the worst OPS in the MLB. Miami’s team batting average of .232 is 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/19 in his last six games. This stretch has helped him raise his season-long batting average to .266. He also leads the team with 35 RBIs and is on a six-game hitting streak. Bryan De La Cruz has also been a key run producer for the Marlins, as he is 2nd on the team with 33 RBIs and has 12 homers this season.
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction
Our pick for this Cardinals vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line at +125. With a Cardinals win paying out at -148, we see a lot of value in taking the Marlins to pick up the win at home.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Lance Lynn is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among all starters. As for Roddery Muñoz, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is ninth worst.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 18, 2024 Cardinals, Marlins