The St. Louis Cardinals (36-36) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (24-49) on Wednesday, June 19th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on MLBN. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 11:40 CT.
Cardinals vs Marlins
Miami rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Cardinals series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-8 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +114 on the money line.
St. Louis wasted a good outing from Lance Lynn, as he gave up just two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work for the Cardinals. Chris Roycroft took the loss. Miami’s Calvin Faucher got the win out of the bullpen, and Roddery Muñoz only went four innings for the Marlins, giving up six earned runs.
Jesús Sánchez hit the game’s only home run while going 3/5 with three RBIs. Christian Bethancourt and Josh Bell each had two hits and two RBIs for Miami’s offense.
St. Louis is at .500 this season, coming in with a record of 36-36. The Cardinals will be on the road today, taking on the Marlins. St. Louis is 6.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead, and they are 9-9 in divisional games this year.
The Cardinals have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 12-10-1 this year. As the road favorite, the Cardinals are 6-5 this year, and they are 18-20 as the underdog overall. St. Louis is 17-15 at home and have gone 19-21 on the road.
When the Cardinals win, they tend to win by a wide margin, as their average run differential in victories is +2.4. However, in their losses, they tend to lose big, as their average run differential in defeats is -3.5. As a result, they have a run line record of 36-36 this season, with a run line record of 18-14 at home and 18-22 on the road. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 23-15 against the run line in those games, compared to 13-21 as the favorite.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road against the Miami Marlins today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Cardinals games this season is 8.4 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 30-39, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-9. The over has hit in two straight games for St. Louis.
Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-2 with a 3.44 ERA. In his last outing, Gibson picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run to the Cubs. Looking back over his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in each one. Gibson has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 7.85 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 10 home runs and is averaging 3.33 walks per nine innings.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are 25th in the league in runs scored, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. This is a slight improvement from their road scoring average of 3.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 14th in the league, and are also near the middle of the pack in terms of home runs and slugging percentage.
Nolan Gorman has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 15 homers are 8th in the league. However, he is batting just .201. Alec Burleson has also been a solid power threat, with 10 homers and a batting average of .274. Over the team’s last seven games, Brendan Donovan and Paul Goldschmidt have each gone deep twice, with Donovan hitting .296 and Goldschmidt batting .276.
Miami will be hosting the Cardinals today with an overall record of 24-49, which has them 5th in the NL East. So far, they have gone just 5-17 in divisional games. The Marlins are 25.0 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Miami has really struggled to close out series, as they have an overall series record of 5-17-1 and have dropped six straight series.
At home, the Marlins are 13-26 compared to an 11-23 mark on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 21-37 this year and 3-12 when favored. Miami has gone just 2-8 across their last ten games, and they are currently tied with the Cardinals in their series.
The Marlins are 30-43 against the run line this season, including a 13-26 mark at home. Miami has covered the run line in two straight games and is 29-29 as an underdog. The Marlins have an average run differential of -1.6 runs per game this season, but that number drops to -1.8 at home.
When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have played 10 games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs this season, and the over has hit in 15 of their 28 games overall. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and they are 39-33 overall on the over/under line. The over has hit in two straight games for Miami.
Yonny Chirinos Gets The Start For The Marlins
Yonny Chirinos is coming off a season in which he made 20 appearances and nine starts. His record was 5-5, and he finished the season with an ERA of 5.40. Chirinos’ WHIP was 1.39, and he allowed opponents to hit .271. His FIP for the season was 5.43, and he finished the year with 15 home runs allowed. Chirinos’ strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 2.0, and he averaged 1.4 walks per game.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the majors. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only three runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been especially bad in the power department, as they are 20th in home runs and have the worst isolated power (ISO) in the league.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been one of the Marlins’ top power threats this season, as his 10 homers are 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. He comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 9/19. Over his last six games, Chisholm Jr. has one home run and four RBIs. Bryan De La Cruz has also been a solid power threat, but he is just 5/25 in his last six games.
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction
We really like the Marlins on the money line in this one, and at +146, they are offering a great payout. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Marlins, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the Cardinals lineup, they are projected to have one of the lowest home run totals of any team in action today. As for the Marlins, they are actually projected to finish with the most hits in the league today, and their pitchers are projected to rack up the second-most strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 19, 2024 Cardinals, Marlins