The St. Louis Cardinals (70-69) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (81-58) on Wednesday, September 4th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Brewers (+103)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Brewers have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game over their last 15 games.
- The Brewers have a home record of 41-26, compared to the Cardinals’ away record of 34-37.
- The Brewers have won 10 of their last 15 games, including a 9-3 win against the Cardinals on September 2nd.
- The Brewers have outscored the Cardinals 13-10 in their last two head-to-head games.
- The Brewers have a better overall league rank (3rd) compared to the Cardinals (9th).
Cardinals vs Brewers
It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Brewers by a score of 7-4. The Cardinals offense only had nine hits in the game but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +133 on the money line.
Milwaukee had a late rally, scoring three runs in the 11th, but Ryan Helsley closed things out for the Cardinals. Elvis Peguero took the loss for the Brewers out of the bullpen.
Steven Matz only went 4 2/3 innings for the Cardinals but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Aaron Civale had a rough outing for the Brewers, giving up three homers in five innings of work.
St. Louis has an overall series record of 22-17-5 this season and are looking to take the series lead over the Brewers today, as the series is tied 1-1. The Cardinals trail the Brewers by 11 games in the NL Central with a 70-69 record.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals, they have been more profitable as underdogs with a 47-25 record, but as favorites, they are 22-45. The average scoring margin in their games is -0.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 68-68. This season, 58.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 5 games.
Sonny Gray Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Sonny Gray will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Padres and picked up the win. In that start, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Gray has made 25 starts, and his record for the season is 12-9. The right-hander’s ERA is 3.96, along with a WHIP of 1.10. Opposing batters are hitting .219 off Gray this season. Out of his 25 starts, Gray has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.91 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has 179 strikeouts, which ranks seventh in the majors.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
Paul Goldschmidt has been on fire for the Cardinals of late, going 19/36 (.528) with two homers and nine RBIs over his last nine games. This has pushed his season average to .247, which is 9th on the team. Goldschmidt’s 21 homers are tied with Alec Burleson for the team lead. Burleson has also been solid at the plate, batting .278 for the season.
As a team, the Cardinals are batting .249, which is 10th in the league. However, they are just 22nd in the league in runs scored at 4.2 per game. St. Louis is also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs, and their team OPS of .705 is 17th in the league.
Milwaukee is 81-58 overall this season and leads the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs. They have a 30-18 record against other teams in the NL Central. The Brewers have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 24-15-4.
When favored against the run line, the Brewers are 32-48, but as underdogs, they have a 40-19 record. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while in losses, it’s -2.8. This season, 56.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8, and their O/U record for games with an 8-run line is 11-11-4.
Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers
Milwaukee is sending Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Cardinals, and he has made 23 starts this season. Rea’s record is 12-4, and he has an ERA of 3.70. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts, and his ERA at home is 4.04 compared to 3.73 on the road. In his last outing, Rea finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has done a good job of limiting walks this season, coming in at 2.22 per nine innings.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
The Brewers come into today’s game as one of the top offenses in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the majors. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 8th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and walks.
Willy Adames has been on a tear for the Brewers, as he is currently on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone 8/27 with five homers over his last six games. Adames’ 29 home runs are 9th in the league, and his 100 RBIs are 3rd. William Contreras is also having a strong season, batting .278 with 20 homers and 80 RBIs.
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction
Our pick for today’s Cardinals vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at +103. We have the Brewers winning this one by a final score of 5-4. With the payout, we see this as a great value bet, as the payout is over even money.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Sonny Gray finishing with six strikeouts, which is 12th best among today’s starters. As for the Brewers starter, Colin Rea, we have him finishing with six strikeouts as well, which is 15th best.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 4, 2024 Brewers, Cardinals