The Chicago Cubs (44-49) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (57-35) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 5:35 CT.
Cubs vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-131)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Orioles have a strong home record, winning 6 out of their last 8 home games.
- Baltimore has outscored their opponents 45-36 in their last 8 home games.
- The Orioles have a higher league rank (2nd in AL East) compared to the Cubs (12th in NL Central).
- Baltimore has won 5 out of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.
- The Orioles have scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 home games.
Cubs vs Orioles
Chicago cruised to a 4-0 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a two-run 2nd inning and added insurance runs in the 5th and 9th. As for the Orioles, they had their best chance to score in the 7th but left the bases loaded.
Shota Imanaga started for the Cubs and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Corbin Burnes got the start for the Orioles and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
Ryan Mountcastle went 3/4 for the Orioles, but it wasn’t enough to avoid the shutout. Christopher Morel had a two-run homer for the Cubs, while Nico Hoerner scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/5.
Chicago has won the first two games of this series vs. the Orioles and are on a three-game winning streak. They are 10 games behind the NL Central lead and have an overall record of 44-49. The Cubs have a 45-48 run line record this season and have an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game.
When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, the Cubs’ O/U record is 9-10. This season, 29.0% of their games have had O/U lines of 8.5 runs. Chicago’s overall O/U record is 40-49, and their average total line is 8 runs per game.
Justin Steele Gets The Start For The Cubs
Left-hander Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 1-3 with a 2.95 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .202 off Steele this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.00. In his 13 appearances, Steele has turned in seven quality starts and is coming off a complete game in which he allowed just one earned run. Looking back at his last three outings, Steele has finished with a no-decision in each one.
Cubs Offense Breakdown
Chicago’s offense has been a bit below average this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .231, and their team slugging percentage of .372 is also below the league average.
Christopher Morel has been a disappointment this season, batting just .200, but he does lead the team with 16 home runs. Ian Happ’s 55 RBIs is the best mark on the team and is also 14th in the league. Cody Bellinger has been a solid all-around hitter for the Cubs, batting .269 with nine homers.
Currently leading the AL East by two games over the Yankees, the Orioles have an overall record of 57-35. They have a 46-29 record when favored and are 11-6 as underdogs. This season, the Orioles have an over/under record of 47-35, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs.
When playing at home, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 29-19 and a run line record of 24-24. Their average run margin in wins is 3.8, and their overall series record this year is 20-6-3.
Albert Suárez Gets The Start For The Orioles
Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Cubs at home. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and 18 total appearances. Suárez has a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.48. In his 65 1/3 innings of work, he has issued 23 walks and has a WHIP of 1.21. The last time he pitched, Suárez picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. He has won each of his last two starts and has allowed just two earned runs in each of those outings.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles have been the league’s top offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Not only are they the league’s top home run hitting team, but they also lead the league in slugging percentage and OPS. Baltimore also has the league’s top isolated power rating.
Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/34 in his last eight games with four runs scored and an RBI. Henderson is currently on a six-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .292 with 27 homers and 61 RBIs. Anthony Santander has 23 homers this season but is batting just .233.
Cubs vs Orioles Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -131. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 5-4. Looking at the starting pitchers, Albert Suárez has a better chance of picking up a win than Justin Steele, and he also has a higher projected strikeout total.
If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under, we would take the over, as we have today’s game finishing with a combined nine runs, giving us some room to spare with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 11, 2024 Cubs, Orioles