Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8/23/2024

The Chicago Cubs (63-65) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (46-81) on Friday, August 23rd. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Cubs vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Cubs (-125)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Cubs have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive potential.
  • In their last 15 games, the Cubs have won 3 out of 4 games when scoring 7 or more runs, indicating strong performance when their offense is clicking.
  • The Cubs have a recent away win against the White Sox, scoring 7 runs on August 9th, demonstrating their capability to perform well on the road.
  • Chicago has won 5 of their last 10 games, showing a balanced performance and ability to bounce back from losses.
  • The Marlins have lost 7 of their last 10 games, indicating a recent struggle in their performance.

Cubs vs Marlins

chicago cubs nba

The Cubs Are Coming Off A Win

Miguel Amaya had a big game at the plate in the Cubs’ most recent game vs. the Tigers, going 3/4 with a homer and five RBIs. The Cubs really broke things open with a four-run 2nd inning and added another four runs in the 4th. Chicago’s offense was the big story, but Justin Steele also had a good start, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out 10 Tigers batters.

Heading into this game, the Cubs were the heavy favorite at -190. Things can sometimes get tense when you’re the favorite, but the Cubs were able to relax and pick up a json 10-2 win. Their offense was carried by Miguel Amaya, who went 3/4 with a homer and five RBIs.

Chicago is 10.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and a half-game behind the Cardinals for the 2nd spot in the division. The Cubs are 63-65 overall and have a 27-36 record on the road.

On the run line, the Cubs are 36-27 on the road and 44-22 as underdogs. Their overall run line record is 61-67, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs this season. The over/under record for Cubs games is 56-68, and their O/U record when the total is 8.5 runs is 15-13.

Kyle Hendricks Gets The Start For The Cubs

Right-hander Kyle Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Hendricks has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 3-10 with a 6.35 ERA. So far, he has turned in just three quality starts and is averaging 6.26 strikeouts per nine innings. Hendricks has really struggled on the road, coming in with a 7.68 ERA compared to 5.78 at home. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also the 17th ranked scoring offense in terms of home runs, and they have a team batting average of just .234. However, they do come into the game with a good walk rate and have been able to avoid strikeouts at a high rate.

Chicago’s top power hitter this season has been Ian Happ, who has gone deep 22 times and is also the team’s leader in RBIs (69). However, he is batting just .230 for the season. Nico Hoerner has been a bit better at .254, and Isaac Paredes is also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards.

The Marlins Took The Last Game Of This Series

Miami is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 10-8 loss to Arizona, Jake Burger went deep, going 1/3, and Cristian Pache was 1/4 with a homer. The Marlins scored four runs in the 4th inning but gave up the lead right away as the Diamondbacks scored four times in the top of the 4th.

Rodder Munoz got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits. Miami’s bullpen didn’t fare much better, as Andrew Nardi allowed two runs in the 8th to take the loss. The Marlins were at +141 on the money line at home going into the game.

As the underdog, the Marlins have a 42-68 record and are 4-13 when favored. Their overall series record this season is 10-25-6, and they have lost two straight series. Miami’s current losing streak as the underdog is at three games.

When playing at home, the Marlins have a run line record of 28-38, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs this season. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, their record is 24-20, accounting for 16.5% of their total games played.

Max Meyer Gets The Start For The Marlins

Max Meyer will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mets, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up four earned runs on six hits in just four innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Meyer has given up at least two homers in three of them. Meyer’s ERA for the season is 5.58, along with a record of 3-3. Out of his eight starts, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 7.36 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, Meyer is 2-1 with a 6.07 ERA.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .239, which is 16th in the league. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .294 is 23rd in the league.

Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, batting .308 over his last 10 games with five homers. For the season, he is batting .249 with a team-high 57 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is 2nd on the team with 48 RBIs and has 15 homers this season.

Cubs vs Marlins Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Cubs vs. Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Cubs. Given that they are on the money line at -125, this is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kyle Hendricks going eight innings and finishing with four strikeouts. As for Max Meyer, we have him going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.