The Chicago Cubs (38-45) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (49-33) on Saturday, June 29th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on MARQ. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Cubs vs Brewers
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cubs vs Brewers series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as the slight favorites at -133 and squeaked out a 4-2 win. Chicago had a chance to tie or take the lead in the 9th inning but could only muster two runs.
Colin Rea only went 5 1/3 innings for the Brewers but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Jameson Taillon had a rough outing for the Cubs, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
At the plate, the Brewers were led by Jackson Chourio, who went 2/3 with a home run and four RBIs. Seiya Suzuki also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Milwaukee. Chicago’s top hitter was Kris Bryant, who went 2/4.
With a record of 38-45, the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 11.5 games. Overall, they are 9-18 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cubs lost the first game of this series vs. the Brewers and are just 16-27 on the road this year.
Chicago has gone 4-6 over their last 10, and they have dropped two straight series overall. As the favorite, the Cubs are 20-20 this year and 18-25 when picked to lose.
When the Cubs win, they tend to win by an average of 2.9 runs per game. When they lose, they tend to lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of -0.3 runs per game. Their run line record is 39-44, including a 24-19 record on the road. They are 15-25 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 11-29 against the run line. As the underdog, they are 28-15 against the run line.
Chicago Cubs games have had an average combined run total of 8.5 this season, with their over/under record sitting at 35-45. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5, their record is 9-8. Overall, 27.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than the 8.5 set for today’s game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Justin Steele Gets The Start For The Cubs
Left-hander Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 3.08. Steele has pitched well recently, turning in three straight outings in which he didn’t allow an earned run. Most recently, he faced the Giants and finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 7 1/3 innings of work. Steele has a WHIP of 1.06 this season and has issued just 2.24 walks per nine innings.
Cubs Offense Breakdown
Christopher Morel comes into the game as the Cubs’ leading home run hitter this season, but he is batting just .199 overall and has gone 5/24 in his last seven games. Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki are also tied for 2nd on the team with 10 homers, with Happ batting just .229 and Suzuki at .266. However, both players have been swinging the bat well of late, with Suzuki going 8/29 and Happ going 9/27 in their last seven games, respectively.
Chicago’s offense is 21st in the MLB in scoring at 4.1 runs per game, and they are batting just .229 as a team (20th). The Cubs are also near the bottom of the league in slugging, OPS, and isolated power. As a team, they have been striking out at a high rate and have the league’s 17th-ranked home run total.
Milwaukee comes into today’s game vs. the Cubs having won five straight games, and they lead the NL Central with a record of 49-33. The Brewers hold a 6.5-game lead over the Cardinals in the division. So far, they have been good against other teams in the NL Central, going 19-9.
At home, the Brewers are 26-12 this year and have gone 23-21 on the road. As the home underdog, the Brewers have a record of 6-5 this season, and they are 28-15 as the favorite. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 15-8-2, and they are leading the Cubs in this series, heading into game two.
The Brewers are a solid bet on the run line this season, as they have covered the run line in 44 of their 82 games. They have been especially good at home, going 19-19 on the run line at Miller Park. Milwaukee has been a better bet as the underdog on the run line, going 26-13 in those games.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs for their game against the Chicago Cubs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 44-35. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-15. So far this season, 13 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 15.9% of their games.
Tobias Myers Gets The Start For The Brewers
Tobias Myers has been pitching well for the Brewers, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Padres and picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. Myers’ ERA for the season is 3.12, along with a record of 5-2. Out of his 10 starts, he has three quality starts and is averaging 7.79 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Myers has allowed eight homers and is walking just 2.77 batters per nine innings. At home, his ERA is 5.33 compared to 2.53 on the road.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Coming into today’s game, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Milwaukee also has a good team on-base percentage and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league.
William Contreras comes into the game with a batting average of .289 and is 2nd on the team with nine homers. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are also near the top of the Brewers’ home run leaderboard, but both are hitting below .240 for the season. In his last nine games, Brice Turang is hitting .308 with seven RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has gone 10/27 with two homers in that stretch.
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout being -112. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Justin Steele finishing with seven strikeouts, while Tobias Myers is projected to finish with five. Myers is projected to go the fewest innings of any of today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 29, 2024 Brewers, Cubs