The Cincinnati Reds (48-53) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (54-45) on Wednesday, July 24th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 11:20 CT.
Reds vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+115)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
- The Reds have won 4 of their last 6 road games.
- The Reds have a recent win against the Braves, scoring 4 runs and allowing only 1.
- The Reds have outscored their opponents by a total of 13 runs in their last 3 wins.
- The Reds have a higher run differential (+6) in their last 15 games compared to the Braves (-2).
Reds vs Braves
Cincinnati picked up a 4-1 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Reds offense got off to a fast start, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 3rd. As for the Braves, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +122 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Hunter Greene for the Reds and Reynaldo Lopez for the Braves. Greene went seven innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. On the other side, Lopez gave up four runs in six innings of work.
Cincinnati’s two-through-four hitters, Will Benson, Jeimer Candelario, and Elly De La Cruz, each had two hits and two RBIs. Benson also homered in the game. As for the Braves, Marcell Ozuna went 2/3 with an RBI.
On the season, the Reds have a 54-47 run line record, including a 31-17 mark on the road. They have been more profitable as underdogs, going 33-21 on the run line, compared to 21-26 as favorites. Cincinnati games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with that total is 9-8.
Cincinnati is 48-53 overall and 12 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They are currently winning their series against the Braves and have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games.
Frankie Montas Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending right-hander Frankie Montas to the mound today as he faces the Braves on the road. Montas has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 4.85. Looking at his overall numbers, Montas has a WHIP of 1.36 and has allowed a total of 14 home runs. In his last outing, Montas took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Montas’ ERA on the road is 6.8 compared to 5.98 at home.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been on a tear of late, going 10/28 in his last seven games with two homers and five runs scored. For the season, he is batting .258 and leads the Reds with 17 homers. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the league in homers, as Steer has 15 and Candelario has 16. Steer’s 61 RBIs are 15th in the league.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. Their team batting average of .230 is just 22nd in the league, and they are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of striking out. Currently, Cincinnati has six players on a hitting streak, including Elly De La Cruz, who has homered in two straight games.
Atlanta has an overall series record of 18-12-3, and they are 14-12 in the division. The Braves are 30-20 at home this season and 24-25 on the road. As the favorite, they are 50-36 straight up and 39-47 on the run line.
With a 54-45 record, the Braves are nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have dropped three straight games, including the first game of this series vs. the Reds. Atlanta’s average run margin in wins is +3.6, but it drops to -3.1 in losses. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs, resulting in a 34-60 over/under record.
Allan Winans Gets The Start For The Braves
After taking the loss in his first start of the season, Allan Winans and the Braves are back at home to take on the Reds. In his first start, Winans went 5 innings, giving up 6 earned runs on 8 hits and 1 home run.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna comes into today’s game with a 10-game hitting streak, and over his last five games, he has gone 8/18 with two homers. For the season, he is batting .311 with 28 homers and 79 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league. Travis d’Arnaud and Eddie Rosario have also been swinging the bat well of late, with d’Arnaud going 6/10 in his last three games, and Rosario has two homers in his last five games.
Overall, the Braves offense is 18th in the league at 4.2 runs per game, and they are also 10th in home runs. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league. Currently, they are 12th in slugging percentage and 13th in OPS.
Reds vs Braves Prediction
Our predicted score for this Reds vs. Braves matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Reds. Given that the Reds are the underdogs in this one, we really like the value of taking them on the money line, where they are paying out at +115.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Frankie Montas finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for 11th among starters. As for Allan Winans, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is fourth best among starters.
Offensively, our projections have the Reds finishing with 11 total hits, which is the fifth most in the league today. As for the Braves, they are projected to finish with 10 hits, which is the seventh most.
Another reason we like the Reds to pick up the win is that we have Allan Winans finishing with a higher ERA than Montas, and his chances of picking up a win are also lower.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 24, 2024 Braves, Reds