The Cincinnati Reds (53-58) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (42-70) on Monday, August 5th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Reds vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (-141)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Reds have scored 6 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- The Reds have won 5 of their last 8 road games.
- The Reds have a recent head-to-head advantage, winning 2 out of 3 games against the Marlins in their last series.
- The Reds have outscored their opponents by a total of 22 runs in their last 15 games.
- The Marlins have lost 7 of their last 10 home games.
Reds vs Marlins
The Marlins Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with an 8-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 2nd inning before the Giants scored two runs in the top of the 2nd. San Francisco’s offense really broke out with another five runs in the 8th.
Cincinnati started Carson Spiers, and he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. The Reds also wasted a big game from Santiago Espinal, who homered going 2/4.
As the road favorite, the Reds have an 8-4 record and are 25-27 straight up on the road. Overall, they are 53-58 and are currently 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by nine games. Cincinnati’s over/under record in games with an 8.5 run total is 10-9, and they have gone over the total in two straight games.
This season, the Reds have a 58-53 run line record, including a 32-20 run line record on the road. However, they have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games. As the favorite, they are 27-25 straight up, and their series record is 13-20-3 this year.
Nick Martinez Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending Nick Martinez to the mound today vs. the Marlins, and he comes into the game with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 3.65. So far, he has made five starts and 31 appearances. Martinez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. Out of his 13 road appearances, he has gone 2-2 with a 2.67 ERA. The right-hander has done most of his work out of the bullpen this year, and his last outing came on August 2nd, where he went one inning, giving up one earned run on two hits. Before that, he had won two straight outings.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Over the last eight games, Jeimer Candelario has really struggled, going just 4/28. However, he is tied for the team lead with 18 homers and is 2nd on the team with 51 RBIs. Spencer Steer has been the Reds’ top run producer this season, leading the team with 65 RBIs, while also being 2nd on the team with 15 homers. Elly De La Cruz is hitting .255 for the season and has 18 homers.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They are also 13th in the league in home runs. Overall, the Reds are batting just .227, which is 22nd in the league. Currently, Nick Martini is on a three-game hitting streak.
The Marlins Are Coming Off A Win
Miami closed out their series vs. the Braves with an impressive 7-0 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the +211 underdog on the money line. It was a six-run 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Braves could only score three runs in the 4th.
Edward Cabrera put together a good start for the Marlins, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Braves batters. Miami’s offense was carried by Jonah Bride, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Miami has an overall record of 42-70 and is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 24.5 games. The Marlins have won two straight games and have a 20-36 road record and a 22-34 home record. Against the run line, they are 53-59, including a 25-31 mark at home. Miami’s over/under record for the season is 60-49, and the under has hit in their last four games.
As underdogs, the Marlins are 38-57 this season and have a 51-44 run line record as underdogs. Their games have averaged 8 runs this season, and their over/under record with the line set at 8.5 runs is 18-17.
Roddery Muñoz Gets The Start For The Marlins
Roddery Muñoz will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win and gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Rays, he gave up four hits, issued one walk, and gave up one homer. Looking back at his last four outings, Muñoz has given up at least one homer in each. Overall, he has made 12 starts, and his record for the Marlins is 2-5. Muñoz’s ERA for the season is 5.46, along with a WHIP of 1.38. For the year, he has allowed 19 homers and is averaging 4.36 walks per nine innings compared to 7.77 strikeouts.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Over his last eight games, Jake Burger has been on fire for the Marlins, hitting four home runs while going 10/30 (.333). This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs, as he has 47 for the season, and he also leads the team with 17 homers. Jesús Sánchez is also a significant power threat for Miami, as he has gone deep 12 times this season.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average is just .238, and they also have the league’s worst walk rate. Currently, they are 24th in both OBP and slugging.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
Our prediction for this Reds vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Reds on the money line, with the payout being -141. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-4.
Looking at today’s starters, Nick Martinez is projected to go five innings, and we have him finishing with five strikeouts. As for Marlins starter Roddery Muñoz, he is projected to go just over four innings and finish with five K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 5, 2024 Marlins, Reds