The Cincinnati Reds (55-58) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (42-72) on Wednesday, August 7th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Reds vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+125)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Marlins have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
- The Marlins have scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
- The Marlins have a better home record (22-36) compared to the Reds’ away record (27-27).
- The Marlins have won 3 out of their last 5 games against the Reds.
- The Marlins have scored an average of 4.4 runs per game in their last 15 games.
Reds vs Marlins
Cincinnati cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -133 on the money line.
Nick Lodolo started for the Reds and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. Max Meyer had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss after going just four innings and giving up six runs.
At the plate, the Reds were led by a 4/5 performance from Elly De La Cruz, who scored twice and drove in two runs. Both Tyler Stephenson and Ty France each had two hits and two RBIs.
Currently, the Reds are 4th in the NL Central, 1.5 games behind the Pirates for the 3rd spot. Their overall record is 55-58, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Reds have a 29-25 record, while they are 26-33 as the underdog.
On the run line, the Reds have a 60-53 record, including a 34-20 mark on the road. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for games with an 8.5 run total is 11-9.
Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Marlins, and he comes into the game with a record of 9-8 and an ERA of 3.41. Abbott has made 22 starts this year and finished with a no-decision in his most recent outing, giving up two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. One concerning stat for Abbott is that he has allowed at least one homer in four straight starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.41 walks compared to 7.2 strikeouts. Looking back, he has made eight quality starts this year.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ leading home run hitter, and he has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/34 in his last eight games. During this stretch, he has two homers and five RBIs. For the season, De La Cruz is batting .268 with 50 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, but both players are batting below .230.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league, and they are also 10th in home runs. Overall, they are batting just .230, which is 20th in the MLB. However, they have been swinging the bats a bit better of late, as they have a few players on hitting streaks and have a couple of guys who have been hitting the ball well over their last eight or nine games.
As underdogs, the Marlins have been solid against the run line, going 51-46, but they have struggled as favorites with a 2-15 record. Miami’s overall series record for the season is 10-21-5, and they are currently down 0-2 in the series against the Reds.
Miami’s straight-up record is 42-72, and they have lost two in a row, entering today’s game. They are 25.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games.
Valente Bellozo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Valente Bellozo will be making his third start of the season for the Marlins, and he will be at home against the Reds. In his first start of the season, he took a loss vs. the Red Sox, giving up 5 runs in 5 innings. He bounced back in his last outing, going 5 innings and giving up 2 runs vs. the Braves.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. Miami’s offense has been led by Jake Burger, who has 17 homers this season and is batting .236. Burger has been hot of late, going 9/33 in his last eight games with four homers and eight RBIs. Xavier Edwards is also swinging a hot bat, hitting .406 over his last eight games.
Currently, the Marlins have four players on a hitting streak, with Xavier Edwards leading the way at nine games. Josh Bell is on a seven-game hitting streak, and Emmanuel Rivera and Bryan De La Cruz are on streaks of four and five games, respectively.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
Our pick for this Reds vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +125. We actually have the Marlins winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Valente Bellozo finishing with six strikeouts, which would be good for ninth among all starters. As for Andrew Abbott, we have him finishing with 6 K’s, which would have him 10th in the league.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 7, 2024 Marlins, Reds