The Cincinnati Reds (55-59) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (43-72) on Thursday, August 8th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 5:10 CT.
Reds vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (-194)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Reds have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 games against the Marlins.
- The Reds have won 4 out of their last 5 games against the Marlins.
- The Reds have a recent away record of 5-3 in their last 8 road games.
- The Marlins have a home record of 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
- The Reds have scored 8 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 wins.
Reds vs Marlins
Miami picked up a 6-4 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Reds, they scored four of their four runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +103 on the money line.
Valente Bellozo got the win for the Marlins in this one, going 5 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Andrew Abbott had a rough outing for the Reds, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up six runs.
Jake Burger hit two home runs for the Marlins while going 2/4 with two RBIs. Derek Hill also had a two-hit game and drove in four runs. For the Reds, TJ Friedl hit a home run and drove in four.
On the season, the over has hit in 52 of the Reds’ 110 road games, with the average total set at 9 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 52-58, and the over has hit in their last five games. Cincinnati’s average run differential per game on the road is +0.8, compared to -0.1 at home.
Cincinnati is 55-59 overall and 5th in the NL Central, 9.5 games behind the Brewers. They have a 13-20-3 series record and are currently up 2-1 in the series vs. the Marlins. Straight up, the Reds are 29-26 as favorites and 26-33 as underdogs. Against the run line, they are 34-21 on the road and 26-33 at home.
Hunter Greene Gets The Start For The Reds
Hunter Greene has been pitching well for the Reds this season, as he has a record of 8-4 and an ERA of 2.83. In his 22 starts, Greene has pitched one complete game shutout and has 11 quality starts. Looking at his road numbers, Greene is 4-1 with a 2.07 ERA. He most recently faced the Giants, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one hit and one walk. Greene finished with 11 strikeouts in that outing. Against the Marlins today, the right-hander will look to keep rolling and pick up another win.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/25 in his last six games, including two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .265 with 20 homers and 50 RBIs. Spencer Steer is the Reds’ current home run leader with 66 RBIs, but he is batting just .226 for the year. Jeimer Candelario is also near the top of the league in homers, with 18, but he is batting just .229.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are one of the better power-hitting teams in the league, as they are 9th in homers and have the 7th best isolated power figure in the league. However, they are batting just .230 for the season and have a collective on-base percentage of just .304.
Miami’s overall record against the run line is 54-61 this season, and the over/under record is 63-49. The average run total in Marlins games this season is 8.6 runs per game, with the over hitting in their last three games. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their O/U record is 17-6.
Currently, the Marlins are 43-72 overall, and they have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. In the NL East, they are in 5th place, 25.5 games behind the Phillies. Miami’s series record for the year is 10-21-5.
Kyle Tyler Gets The Start For The Marlins
Kyle Tyler gets the start for the Marlins today and will be looking to pitch better than he did in his last outing, where he gave up three earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Tyler has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 5.27. Opponents are batting .291 off the right-hander this year. Tyler’s WHIP for the season is 1.76, and his ERA on the road is 7.02 compared to 4.54 at home.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game at just 3.6. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .238 and have the league’s worst walk rate. One of the few bright spots for the Marlins has been Jake Burger, who leads the team with 19 homers and 49 RBIs. He is hitting just .239 for the season, but is 4/25 with four homers in his last six games.
Over his last six games, Xavier Edwards has gone 9/25, and Josh Bell is currently on a seven-game hitting streak. Emmanuel Rivera and Bryan De La Cruz are also on five-game streaks for the Marlins.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Reds and Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Reds. However, with the Reds being -194 on the money line, we recommend taking the over at 7.5 runs, with a payout of -115.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Greene is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and we have Kyle Tyler ending the game with four. As for the Reds and Marlins lineups, the Reds are projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Marlins with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 8, 2024 Marlins, Reds