The Cincinnati Reds (68-73) travel to face off against the New York Mets (76-64) on Friday, September 6th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Reds vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+150)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Reds have won 4 of their last 5 games, showing strong recent performance.
- The Reds have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 wins.
- The Reds have a winning streak of 4 games, indicating positive momentum.
- The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 wins, demonstrating offensive firepower.
- The Reds have a road win percentage of .485, which is higher than the Mets’ home win percentage of .535.
Reds vs Mets
The Reds Are Coming Off A Win
The Reds’s offense was carried by Ty France in their most recent game vs. the Astros. France went 2/3 with a homer and scored the team’s only run. The Reds really needed a big game from France, as they only scored one run and picked up the json. He homered in the 7th inning to break the scoreless tie.
Cincinnati started Rhett Lowder, and he picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out three. Tony Santillan got the save out of the bullpen, and Alexis Diaz picked up the hold.
On the road, the Reds have been a solid bet on the run line, going 41-25. They’ve covered the run line in eight straight games as underdogs. Cincinnati’s overall run line record this season is 76-65. The Reds are 32-34 on the road and 20-28 as road underdogs.
Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central with a 68-73 record, 13.5 games behind the Brewers. Their over/under record for the season is 66-68, and the average run total for Reds games is 8.8 runs. Today’s O/U line of 7.5 runs is lower than usual, as most Reds games have had higher totals.
Fernando Cruz Gets The Start For The Reds
Fernando Cruz gets the start for the Reds today as he faces off against the Mets on the road. So far this year, he has made 29 appearances on the road, going 2-4 with a 6.67 ERA. Overall, Cruz is 3-8 with a 4.99 ERA and WHIP of 1.35. In his 63 appearances, he has a batting average allowed of .203 and is averaging 14.05 strikeouts per nine innings. Cruz’s last outing came on August 31st, where he went 2 innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Cruz has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top power threat, as he has gone deep 22 times this season, which is the best mark on the team. He is also 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 63. De La Cruz is batting .263 for the season and has an on-base percentage of .344. Spencer Steer has also been a solid run producer for the Reds, as his 86 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. However, he is batting just .234.
Jonathan India has struggled at the plate for the Reds of late, hitting just .235 over his last nine games. However, he does have two homers in that stretch. Ty France has been hot of late, going 16/35 in his last 10 games with one home run. France is also currently on a three-game hitting streak.
The Mets Are Coming Off A Win
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with an 8-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Mets responded with four runs of their own. New York went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Mets was Tylor Megill, who picked up the win. He went four innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits. Jesse Winker had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Mets also had three other players with two hits.
Today, the Mets are looking to extend their winning streak to eight games as they host the Reds. New York has won seven straight games and three consecutive series, improving their overall record to 76-64. They are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East.
When it comes to the run line, the Mets have been more successful on the road, with a 39-30 record, compared to 31-40 at home. Their average run margin in wins is 3.6 runs per game. The over/under record for Mets games this season is 70-66, with an average of 9.2 runs per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5, and the Mets are 16-15 in games with that total.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Sean Manaea has been pitching well for the Mets, coming into the game with a record of 11-5 and an ERA of 3.35. He has made 27 starts this season, and opponents are batting .200 off the left-hander. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his last outing, Manaea was dominant, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with two walks and five hits allowed in the outing. Manaea has won each of his last three starts. Against the Reds, he has made one appearance and has an ERA of 1.80.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets of late, going 9/24 with two homers and five RBIs over his last six games. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs (84) while also being 10th in the league in homers (30). Pete Alonso has also been a solid power threat for the Mets, as he is 9th in the league with 31 homers and is 2nd on the team with 78 RBIs.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .249, which is 9th in the MLB.
Reds vs Mets Prediction
With the Reds coming in at +150 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Reds, giving us a lot of value with the money line compared to the over/under line.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Fernando Cruz finishing with five strikeouts compared to Sean Manaea with six. However, we have Cruz going six innings and Manaea going five, giving Cruz a better chance to pick up the win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 6, 2024 Mets, Reds