The Cincinnati Reds (68-74) travel to face off against the New York Mets (77-64) on Saturday, September 7th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Reds vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+133)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Reds have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game over their last 15 games.
- The Reds have won 3 out of their last 4 road games.
- The Reds have a recent head-to-head win against the Mets, scoring 9 runs on April 6th.
- The Reds have a higher away win percentage (47.8%) compared to the Mets’ home win percentage (54.2%) over the season.
- The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games.
Reds vs Mets
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Reds series. New York went into the matchup as -172 favorites and squeaked out a 6-4 win. Heading into the game, the Mets had lost three straight.
Cincinnati wasted a good outing from Fernando Cruz, as he gave up just two hits and two earned runs in one inning of work. Justin Wilson took the loss. Sean Manaea pitched well for the Mets, getting the win after going 6 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
At the plate, the Mets were led by Mark Vientos, who homered twice and went 3/5 with four RBIs. TJ Friedl hit a home run for the Reds and went 1/4.
Cincinnati’s overall series record is 17-25-3, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. They are 13.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and trail the Cardinals by 3.5 games for the 3rd spot in the division.
As underdogs, the Reds have a run line record of 49-27, but as favorites, they are 27-39. The average run margin in their wins is +3.8, while it’s -3.2 in losses. The over/under record for Reds games this season is 67-68, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs. When the O/U line is 8.5, their record is 16-12.
Jakob Junis Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending Jakob Junis to the mound today, and he has made 20 appearances this season to go along with two starts. Junis’ record for the season is 4-0, and he has an ERA of 3.13. Looking at his overall numbers, Junis has a WHIP of .98 and has allowed a total of six home runs. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.65 strikeouts and just 1.17 walks. The right-hander most recently pitched on September 1st, where he went 3 2/3 innings out of the bullpen and gave up one earned run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as he is 2nd on the team in RBIs and leads the team with 23 homers. He is also batting .263 for the season and has gone 5/20 with a homer over his last five games. Jake Fraley, Jonathan India, and Ty France have also been swinging the bat well of late, with each of them having a homer in their last five games.
Collectively, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. However, they are just 18th in team batting average and have a below-average on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .233.
With an over/under record of 71-66, the Mets have been trending towards the over, as the combined run average in their games is 9.2 runs per game. The over has hit in three straight games for New York, and when the total is 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 25-17.
Overall, the Mets are 77-64 this season and are 8.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have won eight straight games and have taken three consecutive series. As the home favorite, New York has a 32-22 record, and their series record this season is 24-16-8.
Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and is coming off a solid outing vs. the White Sox. In that start, he went five innings, got the win, and only gave up one earned run. Looking back over his last three outings, Quintana has finished with a no-decision, a loss, and a win. His record for the season is 7-9, and his ERA is 4.27. Opponents are batting .243 off Quintana this season. The left-hander has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 6.94 strikeouts per nine innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor’s 30 homers being 2nd on the team and Alonso’s 31 leading the team and putting him 11th in the league. Lindor comes into the game on a 16-game hitting streak, and over his last nine games, he has gone 12/37 with three homers. Mark Vientos is also swinging a hot bat right now, hitting .393 over his last seven games, with three homers.
Overall, the Mets are 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and their collective on-base percentage of .321 is 5th best in the MLB.
Reds vs Mets Prediction
Our predicted score for this Reds vs. Mets matchup is a 6-5 win for the Reds, which means we are recommending you take the Reds on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +133.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jakob Junis finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters today. As for Jose Quintana, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the sixth worst among starters.
Offensively, we have the Reds finishing with 11 strikeouts, which is the third most in the league today. As for the Mets, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which is 15th in the league.
If you’re looking for a final score prediction, we have this one finishing 6-5 in favor of the Reds.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 7, 2024 Mets, Reds