The Cincinnati Reds (39-45) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (54-32) on Tuesday, July 2nd. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.
Reds vs. Yankees Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+171)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- The Reds have won 4 of their last 6 road games.
- The Reds have a recent win against a top-tier team, scoring 11 runs against the Cardinals on June 27th.
- The Reds have a higher away win percentage (46.3%) compared to the Yankees’ home win percentage (63.2%) in the last 15 games.
- The Reds have a recent trend of high-scoring games, with 3 games scoring 9 or more runs in the last 15 games.
Reds vs Yankees
The Yankees Took The Last Game Of This Series
Cincinnati closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 2-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. It was a good start for the Reds, as Hunter Greene struck out the side in the 1st inning but ran into trouble in the 2nd, giving up a run. Cincinnati’s offense didn’t score a run, and the Reds only had two hits. Both of their hits were singles.
Hunter Greene took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. He also issued two walks and hit a batter. The Reds’ offense scored a total of 2 runs in their three-game series vs. the Cardinals. Cincinnati’s other run came in their 6-4 win in the 2nd game of the series.
Cincinnati is 10.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, with an overall record of 39-45. The Reds have a 20-23 home record and are 19-22 on the road. Against the run line, they are 27-14 on the road and 18-25 at home, with an overall record of 45-39.
As underdogs, the Reds have a 19-29 record, while they are 20-16 as favorites. Their series record this season is 8-16-3, and they are looking to bounce back after losing two straight series at home. Today’s O/U line of 8.5 runs is lower than their season average of 8.3, and their O/U record in games with that line is 6-7.
Graham Ashcraft Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending right-hander Graham Ashcraft to the mound today as he faces the Yankees on the road. Ashcraft has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 4-4 with an ERA of 5.45. Looking at his overall numbers, Ashcraft has a WHIP of 1.49 and opponents are batting .280 this season. In his 13 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 6.92 strikeouts per nine innings. Ashcraft’s most recent outing came on June 26th, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz and Jeimer Candelario come into the game tied for the team lead in home runs, with both players having gone deep 14 times this season. De La Cruz is batting .252 for the season, while Candelario is batting .243. De La Cruz has been hot of late, going 12/35 in his last eight games, with one home run and five RBIs. Jonathan India is also swinging a hot bat for the Reds, as he is hitting .533 in his last eight games and is currently on a 12-game hitting streak.
For the season, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .229, and their team on-base percentage of .305 is also below the league average. So far, they have been a below-average home run-hitting team.
The Yankees Are Coming Off A Win
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with an 8-1 win. After allowing one run to the Blue Jays in the bottom of the first, the Yankees responded with two runs of their own. New York went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Gerrit Cole put together a good start for the Yankees, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. New York’s offense was carried by Aaron Judge, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Currently, the Yankees are tied with the Orioles for the AL East division lead, both teams holding a 54-32 record. The Yankees have the second-best road record in the American League at 30-18, but they’ve struggled at home lately, losing three straight series. Overall, they’re 17-7-3 in series play this season.
As underdogs, the Yankees have a 12-6 record straight up and are 14-4 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and they’re on a six-game over streak heading into today’s matchup. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs.
Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and is facing the Reds at home. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.15 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gil has a WHIP of 1.12 and opponents are batting .164 this season. In his 16 starts, Gil has turned in seven quality starts, and his ERA at home is 7.4 compared to 3.7 on the road. Gil has allowed a total of seven home runs this season and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He has lost his last two starts.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s best offenses, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in home runs and have the league’s best walk rate. Collectively, the team is batting .251, which is the 8th best mark in the league.
Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top offense, but they also have the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge is batting .316 for the season and has 31 homers, while Soto is batting .303 with 20 homers. Judge has been especially hot of late, going 15/36 in his last 10 games with five homers.
Reds vs Yankees Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Yankees matchup is to take the Reds on the money line, with the payout sitting at +171. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us some room to take the Reds to win straight up or on the run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Gil finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among starters. As for Graham Ashcraft, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which is 20th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:July 2, 2024 Reds, Yankees