The Cincinnati Reds (40-45) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (54-33) on Wednesday, July 3rd. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on AMZP. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.
Reds vs. Yankees Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-187)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Yankees have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Yankees have a home record of 24-15, compared to the Reds’ away record of 20-23.
- The Yankees have won 3 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Yankees have scored 8 or more runs in 4 of their last 10 games.
- The Yankees have a higher league rank (3rd) compared to the Reds (11th).
Reds vs Yankees
Cincinnati rallied for four runs in the 5th inning in the most recent game of this Reds vs. Yankees series. The Reds scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 5th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +183 on the money line.
New York wasted a good outing from Luis Gil, as he gave up just one run in four innings of work for the Yankees. Graham Ashcraft got the win for the Reds out of the bullpen, and Alexis Diaz got the save. Ashcraft only went five innings but gave up just three earned runs.
Offensively, the Reds were led by Elly De La Cruz and Will Benson, as they were the only two Reds hitters to have more than one hit. De La Cruz, Benson, and Aaron Judge each homered for their respective teams.
As underdogs, the Reds have been a good bet on the run line, going 30-19, but as favorites, they are 16-20. Cincinnati’s overall run line record is 46-39, and their average run margin this season is +0.2 runs per game. In the NL Central, they are in 4th place, just half a game behind the Pirates, who are in 3rd place. The Reds are 10.5 games behind the Brewers, who lead the division.
This season, the over/under line for Reds road games has been 8.5 runs, and their run average in these games is 8.4 runs. So far, their over/under record is 37-45, with 42 games going over the total and 29 games going under. Overall, Cincinnati’s series record is 8-16-3, and they have lost their last two series at home.
Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.41 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has a WHIP of 1.20 and has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.64. At home, his ERA is 3.32. Abbott’s last outing came vs. the Cardinals, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He has won three straight starts.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 9/30 (.300) in his last seven games with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .254 and leads the team with 15 homers. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with 10 and 14 homers, respectively.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They haven’t been great in terms of batting average or home runs this season. However, they have been a good road offense, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Cincinnati’s team on-base percentage is just 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage.
Overall, the Yankees are 54-33 and trail the Orioles by just one game in the AL East. They have struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last 10 games and are currently on a two-game losing streak. As the favorite, they are 42-27 and have a 12-6 record as the underdog.
On the run line, the Yankees have been solid, with a 48-39 record and a 28-20 run line record on the road. The over has been hitting at a 23-14 clip in their home games with an average of 9.0 runs per game. Heading into today’s game, the over is on a 7-game streak in Yankees games.
Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays. In that start, he took the loss, giving up eight earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Rodón has given up at least five earned runs in each outing. Rodón’s record for the season is 9-5, and he has an ERA of 4.42. Opposing batters are hitting .247 off the left-hander this season. Despite his recent struggles, Rodón has turned in 10 quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.84 strikeouts and 2.5 walks.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. This number jumps up to 5.4 runs per game when they are on the road. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 9th in the league, and they are also the top walking team in the league. Aaron Judge has been the league’s top run producer so far, with 83 RBIs, and is also the league leader in homers (32). He has also been on a tear of late, going 16/37 in his last 10 games.
Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top home run hitter in Aaron Judge, but they also have Juan Soto, who is 7th in the league with 20 homers. Soto is also batting .300 for the season. Giancarlo Stanton is on a 10-game hitting streak and has gone deep three times in his last four games.
Reds vs Yankees Prediction
Our prediction for the Yankees vs. Reds game is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Yankees, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, we would side with the Yankees, but the payout isn’t as favorable as the over/under line. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 3, 2024 Reds, Yankees