The Cincinnati Reds (41-45) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (54-34) on Thursday, July 4th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 12:05 CT.
Reds vs. Yankees Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-179)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Yankees have a strong home record of 24-16, indicating they perform well at Yankee Stadium.
- In their last 15 games, the Yankees have scored 8 or more runs in 5 games, showcasing their offensive potential.
- The Yankees have a higher league rank (3rd in AL) compared to the Reds (11th in NL), suggesting overall better performance this season.
- The Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 home games, demonstrating recent success at home.
- The Yankees have a better run differential in their last 15 games (+4) compared to the Reds (-6), indicating stronger recent performance.
Reds vs Yankees
Cincinnati picked up a 3-2 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a two-run 2nd inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +158 on the money line.
Andrew Abbott pitched well for the Reds in this one, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with two strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Abbott picked up a win in the game, while Alexis Díaz got the save. Carlos Rodón had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.
Noelvi Marte and Stuart Fairchild each homered for the Reds, while Anthony Volpe went deep for the Yankees. Marte, Fairchild, and Tyler Naquin each scored two runs for Cincinnati’s offense.
On the run line, the Reds are 47-39 overall and 29-14 on the road. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have a 31-19 run line record as underdogs. Cincinnati’s average run differential on the road is +0.7 runs per game.
Cincinnati is 41-45 overall and 4th in the NL Central, 10.5 games behind the Brewers. They have won two straight games and their series record this season is 8-16-3. The Reds’ over/under record is 37-46 and the average total runs per game is 8.3.
Frankie Montas Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending Frankie Montas to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 3-6 and an ERA of 4.23. Montas has made 15 starts this season and has a total of six quality starts. In his 15 appearances, he has a batting average allowed of .227 and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Montas’ last outing came on June 28th, where he took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/39 in his last nine games with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .251 with a team-high 15 homers. Leading the Reds in RBIs is Spencer Steer, who is 14th in the league with 51 RBIs and has 10 homers.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Overall, the Reds are batting just .227, which is 19th in the MLB.
With a 54-34 record, the Yankees are two games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They have lost the first two games of their series against the Reds and have an overall losing streak of two games. In the AL East, they lead the Red Sox by 6.5 games.
As underdogs, the Yankees have a 12-6 record and are 42-28 as favorites. Their run line record is 48-40, and their over/under record is 46-40. This season, their games have averaged 8.9 runs, and when the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-7-2.
Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees
New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he is coming off a start in which he didn’t factor into the decision. Against the Blue Jays on June 28th, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, three walks, and a homer. Looking back at his last three starts, Stroman has finished with a no-decision, win, and loss. His ERA for the season is 3.29, along with a record of 7-3. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is 1.29, and he has made seven quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.59 strikeouts and 4.05 walks.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, the Yankees are 2nd in home runs and have the league’s top team on-base percentage. They also have the 2nd best OPS in the league.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 12/25 in his last seven games with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .318 with a league-leading 83 RBIs and 32 homers. Juan Soto is also having a great season for the Yankees, with a batting average of .300 and 20 homers.
Reds vs Yankees Prediction
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Reds matchup is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 6-4. However, with the money line payout sitting at -179, we recommend taking the over, as we have this game going over the 9 run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Marcus Stroman finishing with four strikeouts, which is good for fifth worst among today’s starters. As for Frankie Montas, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 11th among starters.
Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with nine hits, which has them ranked 15th in the league today. As for home runs, the Yankees are projected to hit the eighth most today.
For the Reds, they are projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the eighth most in the league today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 4, 2024 Reds, Yankees