Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9/23/2024

The Chicago Cubs (80-76) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (92-64) on Monday, September 23rd. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on MARQ. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Cubs vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Cubs (+149)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Cubs have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last 15 games.
  • The Cubs have won 4 out of their last 6 road games.
  • The Cubs have a recent head-to-head victory against the Phillies, winning 10-2 on July 4th.
  • The Cubs have a higher league rank in away wins (38) compared to the Phillies’ home losses (26).
  • The Cubs have won 3 out of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record.

Cubs vs Phillies

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The Cubs Are Coming Off A Win

The Cubs’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 5-0 win. After going just 1-5 in the 1st inning, the Cubs added another two runs in the 4th to break things open. Chicago’s lineup was the big story, as the Cubs’s starter, Shota Imanaga, went seven innings, and didnjson’t give up a run.

Imanaga was also helped out by the Cubs’s defense, as the Nationals could only manage six hits and didn’t score a run. Miguel Amaya went 2-3 with a homer and two RBIs, and Michael Busch also had a good day at the plate, going 2-4 with a run scored.

Chicago is 80-76 overall and nine games behind the Brewers in the NL Central as they head into today’s game vs. the Phillies. The Cubs have an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game this season, with an average of 8.7 runs scored in their games. The under has hit in their last three games, bringing their over/under record to 73-78 for the season.

As favorites, the Cubs are 43-38 straight up, while as underdogs, they are 37-38. They have a 42-36 home record and are 38-40 on the road. Chicago has a 22-25-3 series record and are 5-5 in their last 10 games after sweeping the Nationals in their previous series.

Nate Pearson Gets The Start For The Cubs

Right-hander Nate Pearson is getting the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 57 appearances this season but has yet to make a start. Pearson’s ERA is 4.71, and he has a record of 2-2. Looking at his WHIP, it is currently 1.33. Opponents have hit .257 this season off Pearson. In his last outing, he gave up two hits and a walk in two-thirds of an inning of work. Pearson didn’t give up a run in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in two straight outings.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the MLB. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Cubs are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is 9th in the league. Chicago is also one of the better home run hitting teams in the league, coming in 13th in the league in homers.

Michael Busch has struggled at the plate as of late, going 6/27 in his last nine games. However, he does have three home runs in that stretch. Busch is 2nd on the team with 21 homers this season. Ian Happ leads the team with 85 RBIs and is also 1st on the club with 25 homers.

The Phillies Took The Last Game Of This Series

Heading into their last game vs. the Mets, the Phillies closed out the series with a 2-1 loss. Philadelphia was the heavy favorite at -141 on the money line. Things started off well for the Phillies, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Mets scored the tying run in the 2nd and added another run in the 6th to take the lead.

Zack Wheeler put together a good start for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss. The Phillies’ offense scored their only run on a Trea Turner single in the 1st inning. Nick Castellanos also had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.

Philadelphia has a 27-18-7 series record this season, and their overall O/U record is 73-75. The average combined run total in their games is 8.9. The Phillies are 52-26 at home and 40-38 on the road, with a 79-46 record as the favorite.

The Phillies are five games ahead of the Mets in the NL East with a 92-64 overall record. They are looking to bounce back after dropping two straight games, which were the final two games of their series vs. the Mets.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Cubs at home. Nola has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.54 ERA. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of 1.17 and has turned in 19 quality starts. Nola’s most recent outing came against the Brewers, where he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Nola’s ERA at home is 3.81 compared to 4.48 on the road.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .257. Philadelphia has been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season and also have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league.

Philadelphia’s offense is led by Kyle Schwarber, who is 11th in the league with 99 RBIs and has 36 homers, which is the best mark in the league. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are also having strong seasons, with Bohm batting .288 and Harper at .283. Bohm has gone 6/20 in his last five games with two homers, while Nick Castellanos is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/23 in his last six games.

Cubs vs Phillies Prediction

The best bet in today’s Cubs vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Cubs on the money line, as they are paying out at +149. We have the Cubs winning this one by a final score of 5-4, and with the payout, there is a lot of value in taking the Cubs to win outright.

Looking at some other markets, you could also look at the over/under line, which is sitting at 8 runs. However, we have this one going under, and with the way the payout is for a Cubs win, we would stick with that as our recommended pick.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.